2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bayelsa State
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bayelsa State Opinion polls Registered 1,056,862 Turnout 16.78%
Results by local government area Results by Federal Constituency Results by Senatorial District LGA results
Tinubu: 30–40% 40–50%Obi: 40–50% 50–60%
Abubakar: 40–50% 50–60%
The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bayelsa State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[ 1] Other federal elections , including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate , will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Background
Bayelsa State is a small state in the South South mainly populated by Ijaw peoples ; although its oil reserves make it one of the most resource-rich states in the nation, Bayelsa has faced challenges in security and environmental degradation in large part due to years of systemic corruption and illegal oil bunkering .
Politically, the state's early 2019 elections were categorized as the continuation of the PDP's dominance albeit with the APC making considerable gains by gaining one senate and two House of Representatives seats. The APC also gained ground in the assembly election and Bayelsa also was the state that swung the most towards Buhari in the presidential election , although that could be chalked up to former Governor Goodluck Jonathan no longer being PDP nominee. Later in 2019, the swing towards the APC dramatically increased as its gubernatorial nominee David Lyon won by a large margin but Diri was declared victor after Lyon was disqualified before the inauguration.
Polling
Polling organisation/client
Fieldwork
Sample
Others
Undecided
Undisclosed
Not voting
Tinubu APC Obi LP Kwankwaso NNPP Abubakar PDP
BantuPage
January 2023
N/A
9%
27%
2%
13%
–
13%
20%
16%
Nextier (Bayelsa crosstabs of national poll)
27 January 2023
N/A
11.4%
62.9%
–
20.0%
–
5.7%
–
–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Bayelsa crosstabs of national poll)
22 January-6 February 2023
N/A
9%
41%
–
47%
–
2%
–
–
Projections
General election
Results
Candidate Running mate Party Votes % Atiku Abubakar Ifeanyi Okowa PDP 68,818 41.63 Peter Obi Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed LP 49,975 30.23 Bola Tinubu Kashim Shettima APC 42,572 25.75 Rabiu Kwankwaso Isaac Idahosa NNPP 540 0.33 Other candidates – Others 3,420 2.07 Total 165,325 100.00 Valid votes 165,325 95.50 Invalid/blank votes 7,786 4.50 Total votes 177,368 – Registered voters/turnout 1,056,862 16.78 Source: [ 9] [ 10]
By senatorial district
The results of the election by senatorial district.
Senatorial district
Bola Tinubu APC
Atiku Abubakar PDP
Peter Obi LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP
Others
Total valid votes
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Bayelsa Central Senatorial District [ h] 18,438
21.72%
34,560 40.70%
30,056
35.40%
413
0.49%
1,439
1.69%
84,906
Bayelsa East Senatorial District [ i] 15,133 35.79%
14,905
35.26%
10,801
25.55%
87
0.21%
1,351
3.20%
42,277
Bayelsa West Senatorial District [ j] 9,001
23.60%
19,353 50.74%
9,118
23.91%
40
0.10%
630
1.65%
38,142
Totals
42,572
25.75%
68,818
41.62%
49,975
30.23%
540
0.33%
3,420
2.07%
165,325
By federal constituency
The results of the election by federal constituency.
Federal constituency
Bola Tinubu APC
Atiku Abubakar PDP
Peter Obi LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP
Others
Total valid votes
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Brass/Nembe Federal Constituency[ k]
6,689
33.68%
8,543 43.02%
4,080
20.54%
40
0.20%
508
2.56%
19,860
Ogbia Federal Constituency[ l]
8,444 37.67%
6,362
28.38%
6,721
29.98%
47
0.21%
843
3.76%
22,417
Sagbama/Ekeremor Federal Constituency[ m]
9,001
23.60%
19,353 50.74%
9,118
23.91%
40
0.10%
630
1.65%
38,142
Southern Ijaw Federal Constituency[ n]
7,650
32.22%
11,280 47.51%
4,400
18.53%
190
0.80%
224
0.94%
23,744
Yenagoa/Kolokuna/Opokuma Federal Constituency[ o]
10,788
17.64%
23,280
38.06%
25,656 41.95%
223
0.36%
1,215
1.99%
61,162
Totals
42,572
25.75%
68,818
41.62%
49,975
30.23%
540
0.33%
3,420
2.07%
165,325
By local government area
The results of the election by local government area.
Local government area
Bola Tinubu APC
Atiku Abubakar PDP
Peter Obi LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP
Others
Total valid votes
Turnout (%)
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Brass [ 11] 3,684
29.70%
6,209 50.06%
2,273
18.32%
25
0.20%
213
1.72%
12,404
13.86%
Ekeremor [ 12] 4,398
24.00%
9,113 49.73%
4,489
24.49%
16
0.09%
310
1.69%
18,326
13.71%
Kolokuma/Opokuma [ 13] 4,137
24.63%
8,972 53.42%
3,395
20.21%
34
0.20%
259
1.54%
16,797
26.65%
Nembe [ 14] 3,005 40.30%
2,334
31.30%
1,807
24.24%
15
0.20%
295
3.96%
7,456
7.81%
Ogbia [ 15] 8,444 37.67%
6,362
28.38%
6,721
29.98%
47
0.21%
843
3.76%
22,417
20.89%
Sagbama [ 16] 4,603
23.23%
10,240 51.68%
4,629
23.36%
24
0.12%
320
1.61%
19,816
17.13%
Southern Ijaw [ 17] 7,650
32.22%
11,280 47.51%
4,400
18.53%
190
0.80%
224
0.94%
23,744
13.50%
Yenagoa [ 18] 6,651
14.99%
14,308
32.25%
22,261 50.18%
189
0.43%
956
2.15%
44,365
21.41%
Totals
42,572
25.75%
68,818
41.62%
49,975
30.23%
540
0.33%
3,420
2.07%
165,325
16.38%
See also
Notes
^ Due to disruptions on Election Day, INEC postponed voting in 141 polling units to 26 February.
^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
^ Comprising the local government areas of Kolokuma/Opokuma , Southern Ijaw , and Yenagoa .
^ Comprising the local government areas of Brass , Ogbia , and Nembe .
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ekeremor and Sagbama .
^ Comprising the local government areas of Brass and Nembe .
^ Comprising the local government area of Ogbia .
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ekeremor and Sagbama .
^ Comprising the local government areas of Southern Ijaw .
^ Comprising the local government areas of Kolokuma/Opokuma and Yenagoa .
References
^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections" . Daily Trust . Retrieved 26 February 2022 . ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings" . Africa Elects . Retrieved 25 February 2023 . ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions" . Substack Dataphyte . Retrieved 11 February 2023 .^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout" . SBM Intelligence . Retrieved 19 February 2023 .^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections" . SBM Intelligence . 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022 .^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely" . ThisDay . Retrieved 27 December 2022 .^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?" . The Nation . Retrieved 19 February 2023 . ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper" . The Nation Newspaper . Retrieved 19 February 2023 . ^ Ukpong, Cletus (28 February 2023). "#NigeriaDecides2023: Atiku wins Bayelsa" . Premium Times . Retrieved 28 February 2023 . ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "Cumulative Presidential Results from Bayelsa State" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "BRASS LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "EKEREMOR LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "BREAKDOWN OF RESULTS FOR THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FOR BAYELSA STATE: KOLOKUMA/OPUKUMA LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "NEMBE LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "OGBIA LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "SAGBAMA LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "SOUTHERN IJAW LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (27 February 2023). "YENAGOA LGA" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .
.jpg)
.jpg)
_(Cropped).png)
