Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election
The European Parliament election was held between 6 and 9 June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
Polling aggregations
Seat projections
Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.
Polling aggregator
Date updated
Number of seats
The Left
S&D
G/EFA
Renew
EPP
ECR
ID
NI
Others
2024 election
After reorganisation of groups
16 July 2024
720
46
136
53
77
188
78
84 (as PfE )
33+25 ESN
–
Dynamic [ a] [ b] [ 1]
9 June 2024
720
40
136
54
80
188
82
64
76
–
Baseline [ c] [ 2]
9 June 2024
720
39
136
54
78
177
73
58
48
67
PolitPro[ 3]
9 June 2024
720
40
139
40
81
174
74
89
43
40
Politico Europe [ 4]
6 June 2024
720
32
143
41
75
173
76
67
58
55
election.de[ 5]
6 June 2024
720
42
138
58
85
181
82
69
65
–
Cassandra-odds.com[ 6]
5 June 2024
720
38
145
57
89
167
84
73
67
–
euobserver[ 7]
5 June 2024
720
43
140
52
79
178
89
63
76
–
Europe Elects [ 8]
4 June 2024
720
38
136
55
81
182
79
69
76
4
Der Föderalist[ 9]
Baseline [ c]
3 Jun 2024
720
37
136
57
81
172
79
66
50
42
Dynamic [ a]
720
40
137
58
85
186
80
78
56
–
Euronews[ 10]
23 May 2024
720
43
135
54
82
181
80
83
62
–
2019 election
After Brexit
1 Feb 2020
705
40
148
67
97
187
62
76
28
–
Before Brexit
26 May 2019
751
41
154
74
108
182
62
73
57
–
Popular vote projections
Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.
Polling aggregator
Date updated
The Left
S&D
G/EFA
Renew
EPP
ECR
ID
NI
Others
2024 election
9 June 2024
6.7 %
19.2 %
8.8 %
10.4 %
21.2 %
12.3 %
9.0 %
9.0 %
3.4 %
PolitPro[ 11]
9 June 2024
5.6%
19.3%
5.6%
11.3%
24.2%
10.3%
12.4%
6.0%
5.3%
The Economist [ 12]
9 June 2024
6.0%
16.0%
6.0%
10.0%
22.0%
10.0%
9.0%
7.0%
14.0%
Europe Elects[ 8]
31 May 2024
6.4%
19.8%
7.7%
11.2%
21.1%
12.2%
8.5%
8.9%
4.2%
2019 election
Before Brexit
26 May 2019
6.5%
18.5%
11.7%
13.0%
21.0%
8.2%
10.8%
7.2%
3.1%
Seats
361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament .
Organisation
Release date
Area
Number of seats
The Left
S&D
G/EFA
Renew
EPP
ECR
ID
NI
Others
Lead
election.de[ 13]
6 June 2024
EU27
720
42
138
58
85
181
82
69
65
43
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 14]
4 June 2024
EU27
720
38
136
55
81
182
79
69
76
4
46
election.de[ 15]
30 May 2024
EU27
720
43
141
57
84
179
81
68
67
38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 16]
27 May 2024
EU27
720
39
138
56
86
180
75
68
76
2
42
23 May 2024
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group. [ 17]
election.de[ 18]
23 May 2024
EU27
720
43
139
56
87
179
83
80
53
40
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 19]
16 May 2024
EU27
720
43
134
54
85
182
83
83
54
2
48
election.de[ 20]
9 May 2024
EU27
720
40
140
55
89
177
80
84
55
37
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 21]
28 Apr 2024
EU27
720
44
140
48
86
183
86
84
48
1
43
EM Analytics[ 22]
30 April 2024
EU27
720
40
139
55
85
176
84
79
62
37
Der Föderalist[ 23]
26 Apr 2024
EU27
720
35
132
51
86
173
81
83
35
44
41
720
39
134
53
89
181
86
99
39
47
EM Analytics[ 24]
22 Apr 2024
EU27
720
39
139
51
86
181
86
77
61
42
election.de[ 25]
22 Apr 2024
EU27
720
39
138
52
90
173
80
87
61
35
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 26]
16 Apr 2024
EU27
720
40
139
52
84
184
82
84
52
3
45
election.de[ 27]
8 Apr 2024
EU27
720
39
138
55
86
176
81
85
60
38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 28]
28 Mar 2024
EU27
720
47
135
52
87
184
81
82
48
4
49
election.de[ 29]
22 Mar 2024
EU27
720
40
139
54
89
176
84
83
55
37
Ipsos for Euronews [ 30]
19 Mar 2024
EU27
720
42
136
55
85
177
76
81
68
41
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 31]
18 Mar 2024
EU27
720
46
135
50
86
183
84
89
43
4
48
Politico Europe [ 32]
9 Mar 2024
EU27
720
33
141
48
90
180
87
89
52
39
election.de[ 33]
8 Mar 2024
EU27
720
39
142
51
86
171
86
86
59
29
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 34]
1 Mar 2024
EU27
720
45
140
49
82
181
83
92
44
4
41
Der Föderalist[ 35]
26 Feb 2024
EU27
720
35
135
48
85
176
78
85
36
42
41
37
137
48
89
183
82
101
43
46
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 36]
19 Feb 2024
EU27
720
44
140
48
85
180
83
92
43
6
40
election.de[ 37]
7 Feb 2024
EU27
720
42
138
49
78
176
88
94
55
38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 38]
1 Feb 2024
EU27
720
42
140
51
82
180
80
91
49
5
40
ECFR [ 39]
23 Jan 2024
EU27
720
44
131
61
86
173
85
98
42
42
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [ 40]
15 Jan 2024
EU27
720
37
143
50
84
178
80
93
49
6
35
election.de[ 41]
9 Jan 2024
EU27
720
41
141
45
80
179
86
95
53
38
Politico Europe [ 42]
9 Jan 2024
EU27
720
33
145
43
86
178
89
96
50
33
Der Föderalist[ 43]
8 Jan 2024
EU27
720
33
141
45
86
169
75
89
43
39
28
35
143
47
91
177
85
108
34
34
Europe Elects [ 44]
30 Dec 2023
EU27
720
36
142
49
84
179
81
93
50
6
37
Politico Europe [ 45]
11 Dec 2023
EU27
720
33
145
47
87
175
91
91
51
30
Europe Elects [ 46]
30 Nov 2023
EU27
720
38
141
52
89
175
82
87
52
4
35
KAS [ 47]
29 Nov 2023
EU27
720
42
143
48
87
171
78
79
41
30
35
Politico Europe [ 48]
9 Nov 2023
EU27
720
38
143
49
91
179
90
85
45
36
Der Föderalist[ 49]
6 Nov 2023
EU27
720
43
137
43
90
170
78
76
37
45
33
46
138
47
96
178
89
92
34
40
Europe Elects [ 50]
31 Oct 2023
EU27
720
45
139
51
92
173
80
76
53
11
34
12 Oct 2023
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[ 51]
Politico Europe [ 52]
9 Oct 2023
EU27
720
40
151
49
89
172
93
82
44
21
Europe Elects [ 53]
30 Sep 2023
EU27
720
43
145
52
90
165
86
74
56
10
21
22 Sep 2023
The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats. [ 54]
Der Föderalist[ 55]
11 Sep 2023
EU27
720
43
147
46
91
162
77
74
36
43
15
45
147
50
96
171
90
89
32
24
705
42
144
46
90
157
77
72
35
41
13
44
144
50
95
165
89
87
31
21
Politico Europe [ 56]
7 Sep 2023
EU27
705
42
146
46
91
167
93
76
44
21
Europe Elects [ 57]
31 Aug 2023
EU27
720
38
149
53
90
164
83
75
58
10
15
Politico Europe [ 58]
9 Aug 2023
EU27
705
45
145
48
89
165
89
77
47
20
Europe Elects [ 59]
31 Jul 2023
EU27
705
45
143
49
90
157
82
82
55
12
14
Der Föderalist[ 60]
17 Jul 2023
EU27
705
41
136
48
94
160
79
70
36
41
24
43
137
52
99
167
89
87
31
30
Der Föderalist[ 61]
22 May 2023
EU27
705
49
137
50
92
162
79
67
33
36
25
50
137
54
99
172
82
83
28
35
Europe Elects [ 62]
28 Apr 2023
EU27
705
51
141
49
89
163
85
64
51
11
22
Der Föderalist[ 63]
27 Mar 2023
EU27
705
44
137
42
94
162
78
68
38
42
25
46
141
46
102
170
81
84
35
29
Der Föderalist[ 64]
1 Feb 2023
EU27
705
50
135
42
96
168
78
65
37
34
33
52
138
47
103
172
82
80
31
34
Der Föderalist[ 65]
6 Dec 2022
EU27
705
51
136
44
93
166
79
64
37
35
30
53
139
50
100
170
83
80
30
31
Europe Elects [ 66]
7 Dec 2022
EU27
705
49
142
56
100
158
84
63
46
7
16
Europe Elects [ 67]
1 Nov 2022
EU27
705
55
135
53
106
162
81
66
41
6
27
Der Föderalist[ 68]
12 Oct 2022
EU27
705
52
127
42
100
169
79
63
35
38
42
54
130
48
108
174
84
80
27
44
Der Föderalist[ 69]
20 Aug 2022
EU27
705
52
134
47
98
170
75
63
27
39
36
54
137
53
107
175
80
76
23
38
Der Föderalist[ 70]
22 Jun 2022
EU27
705
54
133
44
101
165
77
64
31
36
32
56
136
54
106
168
81
79
25
32
Der Föderalist[ 71]
25 Apr 2022
EU27
705
59
139
39
97
157
78
64
37
35
18
60
143
49
102
159
84
76
32
16
Der Föderalist[ 72]
1 Mar 2022
EU27
705
53
139
36
98
158
78
62
45
36
19
55
142
44
105
160
109
62
28
18
Europe Elects [ 73]
8 Jan 2022
EU27
705
49
152
55
99
158
78
62
35
17
6
Der Föderalist[ 74]
4 Jan 2022
EU27
705
51
142
39
99
165
73
62
34
40
23
53
146
43
105
166
102
62
28
20
Europe Elects [ 75]
7 Dec 2021
EU27
705
50
155
55
103
146
81
75
36
4
9
Der Föderalist[ 76]
8 Nov 2021
EU27
705
50
144
42
96
155
75
72
36
35
11
52
148
48
107
156
23
120
51
8
Europe Elects [ 77]
4 Nov 2021
EU27
705
50
155
51
102
151
81
75
35
5
4
Europe Elects [ 78]
8 Oct 2021
EU27
705
50
154
47
94
156
78
75
36
15
2
Der Föderalist[ 79]
13 Sep 2021
EU27
705
54
141
42
98
160
70
75
33
32
19
56
145
48
107
160
22
116
51
15
Der Föderalist[ 80]
21 Jul 2021
EU27
705
52
133
45
97
167
71
74
31
35
34
54
138
49
108
168
23
117
48
30
Europe Elects [ 81]
9 Jul 2021
EU27
705
52
144
55
94
156
75
77
34
18
12
Europe Elects [ 82]
5 Jun 2021
EU27
705
51
146
58
92
155
76
74
35
18
9
Der Föderalist[ 83]
24 May 2021
EU27
705
50
125
50
95
167
74
73
33
38
42
52
130
54
109
167
87
74
32
37
Europe Elects [ 84]
2 May 2021
EU27
705
52
144
56
93
158
75
74
34
19
14
Europe Elects [ 85]
2 Apr 2021
EU27
705
51
151
52
93
159
74
74
32
19
8
Der Föderalist[ 86]
29 Mar 2021
EU27
705
52
136
46
96
164
71
73
34
33
28
54
141
49
109
164
85
73
30
23
3 Mar 2021
Hungary 's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group .[ 87]
Der Föderalist[ 88]
2 Feb 2021
EU27
705
52
135
45
94
184
70
71
21
33
49
53
141
48
107
184
73
71
28
49
Europe Elects [ 89]
5 Jan 2021
EU27
705
55
138
47
97
190
73
72
22
11
52
Der Föderalist[ 90]
9 Dec 2020
EU27
705
52
136
47
93
188
67
73
20
29
52
53
140
40
103
188
73
73
25
48
Europe Elects [ 91]
2 Dec 2020
EU27
705
55
136
48
95
195
68
73
23
12
59
Europe Elects [ 92]
31 Oct 2020
EU27
705
54
136
48
93
197
70
74
24
9
61
Der Föderalist[ 93]
12 Oct 2020
EU27
705
51
127
49
96
193
67
71
21
30
66
52
136
52
102
193
71
71
28
–
57
Europe Elects [ 94]
4 Oct 2020
EU27
705
55
136
49
95
195
71
77
23
4
59
Europe Elects [ 95]
31 Aug 2020
EU27
705
55
134
49
96
196
71
75
24
5
62
Europe Elects [ 96]
14 Aug 2020
EU27
705
54
134
49
97
198
70
75
23
5
64
Europe Elects [ 97]
24 Jul 2020
EU27
705
54
133
48
97
198
71
77
24
3
65
Europe Elects [ 98]
28 May 2020
EU27
705
55
135
47
98
197
70
77
23
3
62
Europe Elects [ 99]
30 Apr 2020
EU27
705
55
140
46
94
193
72
78
23
4
53
Europe Elects [ 100]
31 Mar 2020
EU27
705
57
135
51
92
188
72
83
21
6
53
Europe Elects [ 101]
29 Feb 2020
EU27
705
56
133
55
99
184
68
85
21
6
51
Europe Elects [ 102]
31 Jan 2020
EU27
705
55
130
53
101
182
70
85
23
6
52
31 Jan 2020
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union. [ 103]
Europe Elects [ 104]
31 Dec 2019
EU27
705
54
131
52
102
182
70
86
25
3
51
Europe Elects [ 105]
31 Dec 2019
EU28
751
53
153
52
103
177
103
82
25
3
24
Europe Elects [ 106]
30 Nov 2019
EU28
751
49
157
61
107
176
95
80
25
1
19
Europe Elects [ 106]
31 Aug 2019
EU28
751
46
151
62
115
175
92
78
30
2
24
Europe Elects [ 106]
30 Sep 2019
EU28
751
48
151
63
118
170
87
79
32
3
19
Europe Elects [ 106]
31 Aug 2019
EU28
751
47
154
64
116
166
89
80
32
3
12
Europe Elects [ 106]
31 Jul 2019
EU28
751
48
153
65
117
168
85
79
33
3
15
Europe Elects [ 106]
30 Jun 2019
EU28
751
46
145
74
119
167
64
80
54
2
22
Redistribution of seats after Brexit
1 Feb 2020
EU27
705
40
148
68
97
187
62
76
27
–
39
2019 European Parliament election
26 May 2019
EU28
751
41
154
74
108
182
62
73
57
–
28
Popular vote
The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
National opinion polling
Austria
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
ÖVP EPP
SPÖ S&D
FPÖ ID
Grüne G/EFA
NEOS Renew
KPÖ Left
DNA ECR
Others
Lead
Lazarsfeld Society
3–4 Jun 2024
2,000
19-224
22-255
27-30 6
8-102
12-153
30
20
—
5
Lazarsfeld Society
24–28 May 2024
2,000
224
235
28 6
92
153
20
10
—
5
Market
24–28 May 2024
814
224
245
27 6
92
143
30
10
—
3
IFDD
22–24 May 2024
1,080
225
235
28 6
102
122
30
20
—
5
Lazarsfeld Society
17–21 May 2024
1,000
224
245
27 6
92
153
20
10
—
3
Spectra
13–20 May 2024
1,000
225
235
26 5
112
133
30
20
—
3
IFDD
15–17 May 2024
1,000
235
225
27 6
112
122
40
10
—
4
Peter Hajek
13–17 May 2024
1,200
235
235
30 6
102
102
30
10
—
7
OGM
7–8 May 2024
1,007
225
225
26 5
132
143
20
—
10
4
Lazarsfeld Society
6–8 May 2024
2,000
214
214
26 6
143
153
20
10
—
5
Triple-M
3–7 May 2024
800
194
235
27 6
143
112
40
—
20
4
Market
22–25 Apr 2024
842
204
245
27 6
122
133
30
—
10
3
Lazarsfeld Society
22–24 Apr 2024
2,000
214
235
27 6
122
133
30
—
10
4
Ipsos
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024
1,000
21.04
22.05
28.2 6
13.03
11.82
2.10
—
1.90
6.2
Lazarsfeld Society
26–28 Feb 2024
1,000
204
225
26 5
143
163
20
—
—
4
Market
5–7 Feb 2024
800
245
235
27 6
112
122
20
—
10
3
Lazarsfeld Society
29–31 Jan 2024
1,000
245
204
27 6
132
143
20
—
—
3
OGM
22–31 Jan 2024
2,076
225
214
26 6
143
122
20
—
30
4
IFDD
25–28 Jan 2024
1,000
214
245
27 6
143
92
30
—
20
3
Lazarsfeld Society
11–13 Dec 2023
1,000
225
225
30 6
132
92
20
—
20
8
Peter Hajek
22–29 Nov 2023
1,600
235
245
30 7
122
71
30
—
10
6
IFDD
1–4 Oct 2023
837
25 5/6
25 5/6
25 5/6
143
81
—
—
30
Tie
2019 legislative election
29 Sep 2019
–
37.5 8
21.25
16.23
13.93
8.11
0.70
—
2.50
16.3
2019 European election
26 May 2019
–
34.6 7
23.95
17.23
14.13
8.41
0.80
—
1.00
9.7
Projected turnout:
According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier " newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.
Other pollsters like the Lazarsfeld Society or Spectra are estimating turnout at between 52% to 63%.
Belgium
Dutch-speaking
French-speaking
Bulgaria
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample
GERB—SDS EPP
BSPzB S&D
DPS Renew
VMRO ECR
PP–DB Renew -EPP [ d]
Revival NI
ITN ECR [ e]
Blue Bulgaria ECR
Others
NOTA
Lead
Alpha Research
1-4 June 2024
1000
25 5
7.92
14.13
—
15.93
15.73
5.91
2.90
12.6[ f]
—
9.1
CAM
1-4 June 2024
821
26.2 5
8.12
14.13
—
17.74
14.83
5.30
2.10
—
—
8.5
Sova Haris
29 May-3 June 2024
1000
26.4 6
8.92
14.43
—
15.43
15.33
5.60
—
14
—
11
Market Links
22 May-2 June 2024
1004
28.8 6
8.72
12.43
—
20.24
11.42
3.90
2.20
7.4[ g]
2.1
8.6
TREND
11–18 May 2024
1003
25.9 5
8.12
14.63
1.20
16.14
15.13
5.50
1.80
12.4[ h]
5.3
9.8
Sova Harris
8–13 May 2024
1000
28.3 6
10.32
13.33
—
15.83
153
5.20
—
11.5
—
12.5
MarketLinks
29 April–9 May 2024
—
29.4 6
9.32
13.13
—
20.64
12.32
2.70
1.70
6.4[ i]
4.2
8.8
Alpha Research
28 April–5 May 2024
1000
25.1 5
8.02
14.43
—
18.54
14.83
4.80
2.40
12.0[ j]
—
6.6
Gallup
22 April–2 May 2024
808
26.4 5
8.22
14.93
1.30
17.54
14.73
4.50
1.40
11.1[ k]
—
8.9
TREND
12–19 April 2024
1002
27.2 5
9.42
15.43
—
17.24
15.33
5.10
—
10.1[ l]
—
10.1
Gallup
28 March-5 April 2024
805
28.7 5
10.12
15.33
—
18.24
15.13
5.50
—
9.8
—
6.2
IPSOS
N/A
N/A
27.1 5
8.82
13.02
—
20.94
15.13
6.11
—
8.9[ m]
—
6.2
Alpha Research
1-7 March 2024
1000
27.0 5
10.62
10.02
—
23.85
15.83
5.90
—
6.9
—
3.2
Market Links
24 February-3 March 2024
1058
26.4 5
9.72
14.03
—
22.74
13.53
3.80
—
6.1
3.9
3.7
2019 election
26 May 2019
—
30.4 6
23.55
16.13
7.12
5.9[ n] 1
1.00
—
—
2.6
4.1
6.9
Croatia
Cyprus
Date
Polling firm
DISY EPP
AKEL Left
ELAM ECR
DIKO S&D
EDEK S&D
DIPA Renew
KOSP G/EFA
APC Left
EP NI
VOLT G/EFA
Fidias NI
Others
Lead
9 June 2024
Election Results
24.8
21.5
11.2
9.7
5.1
2.2
1.3
0.3
1.3
2.9
19.4
0.3
3.3
27-30 May 2024
IMR
26.6
28.3
13.7
10.6
3.4
3.0
3.2
-
2.0
2.8
7.5
0.6
1.7
22-28 May 2024
CMRC
28.7
27.4
14.0
12.1
3.8
1.9
3.8
1.9
-
3.8
3.8
1.3
1.3
20-25 May 2024
RAI Consultants
27.3
25.2
12.5
9.3
4.4
2.7
2.1
0.9
2.1
4.5
8.7
0.3
2.1
13-25 May 2024
CYMAR Market Research Ltd
26.0
24.0
13.0
12.0
5.0
3.0
3.0
-
-
4.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
20-24 May 2024
Symmetron
25.6
24.2
12.0
10.2
3.7
4.3
2.6
-
-
3.9
2.5
1.6
1.5
17-24 May 2024
SIGMA
29.0
27.7
13.5
12.9
3.9
2.6
3.9
-
-
2.6
2.6
1.3
1.3
16-22 May 2024
Pulse Market Research
25.8
23.5
13.6
12.1
4.5
3.0
3.0
-
-
5.3
6.1
3.0
2.3
9-14 May 2024
Analytica Market Research
24.3
24.9
14.5
11.9
6.0
3.5
3.7
-
3.3
3.9
-
4.0
0.6
10-22 Apr 2024
CMRC
29.0
27.5
15.2
12.3
3.6
1.4
3.6
2.9
-
3.6
-
0.7
1.5
08-19 Apr 2024
CYMAR Market Research Ltd
28.1
25.0
15.6
12.5
6.3
1.6
1.6
-
-
3.1
-
6.3
3.1
14–23 Mar 2024
SIGMA
28.1
28.1
15.1
13.7
4.1
2.7
2.7
-
-
2.7
-
2.7
0
20–26 Feb 2024
Pulse Market Research
31.3
25.8
14.7
12.9
5.5
0.5
3.7
-
-
-
-
5.5
5.5
12–16 Feb 2024
SIGMA
29.0
27.5
14.5
11.6
4.3
4.3
2.9
1.4
-
1.4
-
2.9
1.5
11 Feb 2024
Symmetron
25.3
23.9
11.3
9.0
3.1
3.1
2.8
-
-
2.5
-
1.5
1.7
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024
Interview
31.7
31.8
15
9.0
2.4
2.2
6.8
-
-
-
-
1.1
0.1
22–26 Jan 2024
L.S.Prime
26.4
26.4
13.8
11.1
4.2
4.2
2.8
-
-
-
-
11.1
0
03–11 Jan 2024
IMR
25.7
27.8
17.4
9.7
3.2
3.3
4.9
-
-
1.8
-
3.5
2.1
30 May
Election 2021
27.8%
22.3%
6.8%
11.3%
6.7%
6.1%
4.4%
1.0%
3.3%
-
10.3%
5.5
26 May
Election 2019
29.0%
27.5%
8.2%
13.8%
10.6%
3.8%
-
0.8%
-
-
3.0%
1.5
Czech Republic
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
SPOLU ECR –EPP
ANO Renew
Piráti G/EFA
STAN EPP
SPD –Trikolóra ID
Stačilo! Left
SOCDEM S&D
Svobodní NI
PaM NI
Zelení EGP
PRO NI
Others
Lead
7–8 June 2024
Election result
22.36
26.1 7
6.21
8.72
5.71
9.62
1.90
1.80
10.32
1.60
2.20
3.90
3.8
STEM
22–26 May 2024
1,623
21.56
23.1 6
9.42
10.03
9.52
8.12
2.90
2.70
4.70
1.90
1.80
4.10
1.6
STEM/MARK
20–27 May 2024
1,398
22.35
26.1 6
12.13
8.12
7.92
7.72
3.60
2.30
7.21
1.40
1.00
0.30
3.8
Phoenix Research
1–13 May 2024
1,018
17.55
27.4 7
9.92
11.53
6.21
7.02
5.01
1.30
2.20
—
4.20
7.81
9.9
SANEP
2–7 May 2024
1,800
19.85
26.7 7
10.63
9.92
10.13
5.91
3.70
2.90
4.80
0.50
3.20
1.90
6.9
STEM/Mark
28 Mar–8 April 2024
1,009
20.05
27.5 7
10.12
10.43
10.42
6.71
3.40
2.50
6.01
0.90
—
1.90
7.5
Data Collect
25 Mar 2024
20.9
27.3
10.8
9.3
10.9
7.1
2.9
1.5
2.5
2.5
1.9
2.4
6.4
IPSOS
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
1,517
21.6
26.3
11.3
13.4
7.9
6.1
2.7
2.8
4.9
—
—
—
4.7
IPSOS
Dec 2023
TBA
25.2
26.3
10.0
12.0
7.7
6.0
—
—
—
—
—
12.8
1.1
STEM/MARK
23–28 Nov 2023
1,010
15.0
33.8
11.4
7.3
14.7
5.4
3.6
2.9
—
—
—
6.0
18.8
2021 parliamentary election
8–9 Oct 2021
–
27.8
27.1
15.6
9.6
3.6
4.7
2.8[ s]
4.7
1.0
—
0.9
0.7
2019 European election
24–25 May 2019
–
21.8 [ t]
21.2
14.0
11.7[ u]
9.1
6.9
4.0
0.7
—
—
—
10.6
0.6
Denmark
Polling execution
Parties
Alliances
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
V Renew
A S&D
F G/EFA
O ID
B Renew
C EPP
Ø Left
Å G/EFA
I EPP
M Renew
Æ ECR
Others
2024 EP election
14.72
15.63
17.4 3
6.41
7.11
8.81
7.01
2.70
7.01
5.91
7.41
—
35.76
27.74
15.82
Epinion (exit poll)
9 June
?
13.92
15.43
18.4 3
6.51
6.91
7.41
6.61
3.30
7.81
6.21
7.61
—
37.16
27.04
15.22
Verian
29 May–5 Jun 2024
2,301
11.52
18.9 3
16.63
7.01
5.40
6.81
6.41
2.00
10.52
5.91
8.81
—
37.56
22.83
17.33
Verian
29 May–5 Jun 2024
2,301
11.52
18.9 3
16.63
7.01
5.40
6.81
6.41
2.00
10.52
5.91
8.81
—
37.56
22.83
17.33
Epinion
28 May–3 Jun 2024
2,085
10.82
17.7 3
16.63
6.41
4.90
8.31
7.81
4.10
8.52
6.01
8.91
—
38.46
21.73
16.83
Epinion
8–14 May 2024
2,025
12.52
21.4 4
13.12
7.41
5.41
7.11
6.81
1.70
9.92
4.00
10.41
—
36.26
21.93
17.03
Verian
8–14 May 2024
1,565
13.62
18.6 3
14.03
9.61
4.71
6.81
6.21
1.20
12.22
3.90
9.11
—
33.86
22.23
19.03
Epinion
23–29 Apr 2024
1,938
11.22
20.1 4
14.62
6.51
7.01
6.81
6.91
2.30
12.02
4.50
8.11
—
37.06
22.73
18.83
Epinion
6–13 Mar 2024
1,074
122
24 4
142
71
51
51
71
30
91
71
71
—
416
244
142
Ipsos
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
1,000
10.52
21.0 4
12.02
5.00
6.01
6.01
8.01
2.00
13.02
7.01
8.51
—
35.06
23.54
19.03
Epinion
24–31 Jan 2024
1,051
112
22 4
122
71
61
61
71
10
101
71
91
—
356
244
162
2022 general election
13.3(3)
27.5 (6)
8.3(1)
2.6(0)
3.8(0)
5.5(1)
5.1(0)
3.3(0)
7.9(1)
9.3(2)
8.1(1)
5.2(0)
39.1(7)
26.4(4)
13.4(2)
2021 municipal elections
21.2(4)
28.4 (5)
7.6(1)
4.1(0)
5.6(1)
15.2(3)
7.3(1)
0.7(0)
1.4(0)
—
8.5(0)
36.7(6)
26.8(5)
16.6(3)
2019 general election
23.4(5)
25.9 (6)
7.7(1)
8.7(1)
8.6(0)
6.6(1)
6.9(1)
3.0(0)
2.3(0)
—
6.9(0)
36.6(7)
32.0(5)
9.0(1)
2019 EP election
23.5 (4)
21.53
13.22
10.81
10.12
6.21
5.51
3.40
2.20
—
3.70
—
Estonia
Polling execution
Parties
Lead
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Reform Renew
SDE
S&D
Centre
Renew
EKRE ID
Isamaa EPP
E200
EER G/EFA
Parem
Koos
Others
Party
EP group
Norstat
8–20 May 2024
1,471
19.11
19.32
11.51
14.21
21.32
3.80
0.90
4.30
2.90
2.70
2.0
4.6
Kantar Emor
6–15 May 2024
1,471
17.22
23.6 2
11.01
13.61
14.01
4.10
0.90
7.20
3.10
5.40
6.4
9.3
Norstat
29 Apr–6 May 2024
1,484
19.32
21.4 2
9.41
17.91
17.11
3.90
0.90
4.50
3.00
2.70
2.1
7.3
Kantar Emor
8-17 Apr 2024
1,484
18.82
20 2
13.81
13.81
16.81
4.70
1.50
60
—
4.50
1.2
12.6
Norstat
11-15 Apr 2024
3,500
20.12
22.0 2
11.01
17.21
17.61
5.00
1.20
4.70
—
1.20
1.9
9.1
Kantar Emor
14-20 Mar 2024
1,135
18.92
21.4 2
13.91
15.41
16.71
5.60
—[ v]
5.90
—
2.10
2.5
11.4
2023 parliamentary election
31.2 3
9.31
15.31
16.11
8.20
13.31
1.00
2.30
—
3.30
15.1
30.4
2019 EP election
26.2 2
23.32
14.41
12.71
10.31
3.20
1.80
—
—
8.00
2.9
17.3
Finland
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
KOK EPP
VIHR G/EFA
SDP S&D
PS ECR
KESK Renew
VAS Left
SFP Renew
KD EPP
LIIK NI
Others
Lead
Taloustutkimus[ 133]
29 May–4 June 2024
2,111
20.6 4
9.31
19.43
16.43
11.92
10.82
4.20
40
1.10
2.20
1.2
Taloustutkimus[ 134]
23–29 Apr 2024
2,118
21.7 4
10.52
19.73
14.12
13.62
10.52
4.00
2.90
1.00
2.10
2.0
Verian[ 135]
18–25 Mar 2024
1,372
22 4
112
173
142
122
91
50
61
40
5
Ipsos[ 136]
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
1,000
22.5 4
9.01
20.04
19.03
10.52
8.51
3.50
3.50
3.50
2.5
2023 parliamentary election
20.8
7.0
19.9
20.1
11.3
7.1
4.3
4.2
2.4
2.9
0.7
2019 EP election
20.8 3
16.03
14.62
13.82
13.52
6.91
6.31
4.90
3.10
4.8
France
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
LO NI
NPA Left
PCF Left
LFI Left
ND S&D
PS –PP S&D
EELV G/EFA
GE NI
PRG G/EFA [ w]
PS diss.
UDMF NI
EAC G/EFA
Renew
PP G/EFA
PA Left
Ens. Renew
NE EPP
LR EPP
DLF ECR
UPR NI
LP –VIA ECR
RN ID
REC ECR
Others
Lead
FNC [fr ] NI
R! NI
Ipsos
06–07 Jun 2024
8,923
0.5
0.5
2.5
9.5
0.5
14.5
5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2.5
15
1.5
–
7
–
0.5
1
32
5.5
1[ x]
17
Harris Interactive [failed verification ]
05–07 Jun 2024
2,200
0.5
0.5
3
9.5
<0.5
13
5
–
<0.5
–
0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2
14
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
5
[ y]
18
Elabe
05–07 Jun 2024
2,001
1
0.5
2.5
9.5
<0.5
14.5
5.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2.5
16
1.5
–
6
–
1
1
32
5.5
1.5[ z]
16
Ifop
04–07 Jun 2024
2,710
0.5
0.5
2.5
9
<0.5
13.5
5.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
2.5
14.5
1.5
–
7
–
1
1
33
6
1.5
18.5
Odoxa
05–06 Jun 2024
1.008
1.5
0.5
2
7
0.5
14
5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
<0.5
3.5
15
2
–
7
–
1
1
32
6
[ aa]
17
Ipsos
05–06 Jun 2024
1,738
0.5
0.5
2.5
9
<0.5
13.5
6
–
0.5
–
<0.5
1.5
<0.5
<0.5
1.5
15.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
32
5.5
1.5[ ab]
16.5
OpinionWay
04–06 Jun 2024
2,182
1
1
2
8
<1
14
5
–
<1
–
<1
<1
<1
<1
3
15
1
–
6
–
1
1
33
6
3[ ac]
18
Cluster17
04–06 Jun 2024
1,165
1
0.5
2
9
0.5
13
5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
<0.5
2.5
15
1.5
–
7
–
1.5
1.5
31
5.5
<3[ ad]
16
OpinionWay
04–06 Jun 2024
1,027
1
1
3
7
–
13
6
–
<1
–
<1
<1
<1
<1
2
15
1
–
7
–
1
1
33
6
4[ ae]
18
Harris Interactive [failed verification ]
04–06 Jun 2024
2,200
0.5
0.5
3.5
8.5
<0.5
13
5.5
–
<0.5
–
0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2
14.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
32
5
[ af]
17.5
Ifop
03–06 Jun 2024
2,710
0.5
0.5
2
8.5
<0.5
13.5
5.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
2.5
15
1.5
–
7
–
1
1
33
6
1.5
18
Harris Interactive [failed verification ]
04–05 Jun 2024
2,130
0.5
0.5
3
9
<0.5
13
6
–
<0.5
–
0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2
14
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
5
[ ag]
17.5
BVA
03–05 Jun 2024
1,500
1
<0.5
2.5
7.5
0.5
14
5.5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
1
<0.5
<0.5
2.5
16
1
–
6.5
–
1.5
0.5
33
5
3[ ah]
17
Ifop
01–05 Jun 2024
2,724
0.5
0.5
2.5
8
<0.5
13.5
5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
2.5
15
1
–
7.5
–
0.5
1
33
6
1.5
18
YouGov
31 May – 5 Jun 2024
1,035
1
<1
3
6
1
12
4
–
1
–
1
–
–
–
3
15
1
–
6
–
1
1
32
6
2
15
Harris Interactive [failed verification ]
03–04 Jun 2024
2,130
0.5
0.5
3
9
<0.5
13
6
–
<0.5
–
0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2
14.5
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
5
[ ai]
17.5
Ifop
31 May – 04 Jun 2024
2,734
0.5
0.5
2.5
7.5
<0.5
14
5.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
2
15
1
–
7
–
1
1
33
6
2
18
Harris Interactive
02–03 Jun 2024
2,130
0.5
0.5
3
9
<0.5
13
6
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2
14.5
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
5
[ aj]
17.5
Ifop
30 May – 03 Jun 2024
2,751
0.5
0.5
2.5
7.5
<0.5
14
6
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
2
15.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
33.5
6
1.5
18
Elabe
29–31 May 2024
1,688
1
0.5
3
8.5
<0.5
13
7
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2
16
1
–
6.5
–
1
1
32.5
5
1.5[ ak]
16.5
Harris Interactive
30–31 May 2024
2,178
0.5
0.5
3
8.5
<0.5
13.5
5.5
–
<0.5
–
0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
2
14.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
32
5.5
[ al]
17.5
Ifop
28–31 May 2024
2,713
0.5
0.5
3
7
<0.5
14
6.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
2
15.5
1
–
7
–
0.5
0.5
33.5
6.5
1.5
18
OpinionWay
28–30 May 2024
2,149
1
2
2
6
<1
14
5
–
<1
–
<1
<1
<1
<1
2
15
1
–
7
–
<1
1
33
6
4[ am]
17
Cluster17
28–30 May 2024
1,165
1
0.5
2
8
0.5
13.5
5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
<0.5
2.5
15.5
1.5
–
7
–
1.5
1.5
30
6
<3[ an]
14.5
Harris Interactive
29–30 May 2024
2,200
0.5
0.5
3
8
<0.5
13.5
5.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
1.5
14.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
33
5.5
[ ao]
18.5
Ipsos
27–30 May 2024
11,430
0.5
0.5
2
8
0.5
14.5
6
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
1.5
16
1
–
7
–
1
1
33
5
[ ap]
17
Ifop
26–30 May 2024
2,700
0.5
0.5
3
7
<0.5
14
6.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
1.5
16
1
–
7
–
0.5
1
33.5
6.5
1
17.5
OpinionWay
28–29 May 2024
1,008
1
3
2
6
–
14
5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2
15
1
–
7
–
1
1
32
7
3
17
Harris Interactive
28–29 May 2024
2,016
0.5
0.5
3
8
0.5
14
5.5
–
0.5
–
0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
1
14.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
32.5
5
4[ aq]
17.5
Ifop
25–29 May 2024
2,250
0.5
<0.5
3
7
<0.5
14
6.5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
1.5
16
1
–
7
–
1
1
33.5
6.5
1
17.5
Harris Interactive
27–28 May 2024
2,016
0.5
0.5
3
8.5
0.5
14
5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
1
15
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
5
4[ ar]
17
Ifop
24–28 May 2024
1,809
0.5
<0.5
2.5
7.5
<0.5
14
6
–
0.5
–
0.5
0.5
<0.5
–
1
15.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
34
6
1.5
18.5
Harris Interactive
24–27 May 2024
2,016
0.5
0.5
3
8.5
0.5
14
5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
<0.5
1
14.5
1
–
7
–
1
1
32
5
4[ as]
17.5
Ifop
23–27 May 2024
1,362
0.5
0.5
2
7.5
<0.5
14.5
5.5
–
0.5
–
0.5
0.5
0.5
–
1
16
1
–
7.5
–
0.5
1
33.5
6
1
17.5
Elabe
24–25 May 2024
1,688
1
<0.5
2
8
<0.5
13
6
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
1
0.5
0.5
2
15.5
1.5
–
7
–
1
0.5
33
5.5
2[ at]
17.5
Odoxa
23–24 May 2024
991
2
1
2.5
7
<0.5
13.5
6
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
15
1
–
7
–
0.5
1.5
34
4
0.5
16.5
Ifop
21–24 May 2024
1,362
0.5
0.5
2
7.5
<0.5
14.5
5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
–
1.5
16
1
–
7.5
–
0.5
1.5
33
6.5
1.5
17
OpinionWay
21–24 May 2024
2,024
2
2
2
7
<1
13
5
–
<1
–
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
15
<1
–
8
–
<1
1
32
7
5[ au]
17
Ifop
20–23 May 2024
1,356
1
0.5
2
7
<0.5
15
5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
–
2
16
1
–
7.5
–
0.5
1
33
6
1.5
17
Cluster17
21–22 May 2024
1,043
1
0.5
2
8
0.5
14
5
–
1
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
2
16
1.5
–
6.5
–
1.5
1.5
29
6
3
13
OpinionWay
21–22 May 2024
1,067
1
2
2
7
–
13
5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
1
16
1
–
8
–
1
1
32
7
3
16
Ifop
20–22 May 2024
1,344
1
0.5
2
7.5
0.5
15
5.5
–
<0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
–
1.5
16
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32.5
6
0.5
16.5
Vivavoice
20–21 May 2024
1,059
0.5
0.5
1
6.5
<0.5
14
7
–
<0.5
–
0.5
1
–
–
1.5
17
1.5
–
6.5
–
1
1
32
6
2
15
Ifop
19–21 May 2024
1,344
1
<0.5
2
7.5
0.5
15
5.5
–
0.5
–
<0.5
0.5
0.5
–
1.5
16.5
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
6
0.5
15.5
Elabe
15–17 May 2024
1,398
1
0.5
1.5
7.5
<0.5
13
7.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1
15.5
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
5.5
3
16.5
Ifop
15–17 May 2024
1,334
0.5
0.5
2.5
7
1
14.5
5.5
–
0.5
–
0.5
1
0.5
–
1.5
16.5
1
–
8
–
<0.5
<0.5
32
6
1
15.5
Harris Interactive
15–17 May 2024
2,014
0.5
0.5
2.5
8
0.5
14.5
5
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
1
15
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
31.5
5.5
3.5
16.5
BVA
15–16 May 2024
1,500
1.5
1
2.5
8
<0.5
13
6.5
–
<0.5
–
–
1
–
–
2
17
1
<0.5[ av]
6
1[ aw]
1
<0.5
31
6
1
14
OpinionWay
14–16 May 2024
2,025
1
<1
2
7
<1
14
6
–
<1
–
–
1
–
–
1
16
2
–
7
–
1
1
31
8
2
15
Ifop
13–16 May 2024
1,338
0.5
0.5
2.5
7
1
14.5
5.5
–
<0.5
–
0.5
1
–
–
2
16.5
1.5
–
8
–
0.5
0.5
32
5.5
0.5
15.5
OpinionWay
14–15 May 2024
1,006
1
<1
2
8
<1
14
6
–
<1
–
–
<1
–
–
1
16
2
–
7
–
<1
1
31
8
3
15
Cluster17
13–15 May 2024
1,285
0.5
0.5
2.5
8
1
14
5.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
0.5
–
1.5
15.5
1.5
–
6
–
1.5
1.5
29.5
6
2.5
14
Ifop
11–15 May 2024
1,348
0.5
0.5
2.5
7.5
0.5
14
5.5
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
–
–
2
16.5
1.5
–
8
–
0.5
1
32.5
5.5
0.5
16
YouGov
6–15 May 2024
1,028
1
<1
2
6
1
13
5
–
<1[ ax]
–
2
–
–
1
17
2
<1[ av]
6
–
2
2
32
6
2
15
Ipsos
13–14 May 2024
1,530
0.5
0.5
2
8
<0.5
14.5
6.5
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
16
1.5
–
7
–
1
1
31
6
1.5
15
Ifop
10–14 May 2024
1,348
0.5
<0.5
2.5
7.5
<0.5
14
6
–
<0.5
–
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
17
1.5
–
8
–
1
1
32.5
6
0.5
15.5
Harris Interactive
10–13 May 2024
2,294
0.5
0.5
3
8
0.5
14
5.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
0.5
–
1
15
2
–
7
–
1
1
31.5
5
2.5
16.5
Ifop
9–13 May 2024
1,348
0.5
0.5
2.5
8
<0.5
14
6
–
<0.5
–
–
0.5
–
–
1
17
1
–
7.5
–
1
1
32.5
6
1
15.5
Ifop
6–10 May 2024
1,325
0.5
0.5
2.5
8.5
0.5
13.5
6.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1
17
1.5
–
7.5
–
1
1
32
6.5
0.5
15
Cluster17
6–9 May 2024
1,208
0.5
0.5
2
8.5
0.5
13
6
–
0.5
–
–
1
0.5
–
2
15.5
1.5
–
6.5
–
1.5
1.5
29.5
6
3
14
Ifop
5–9 May 2024
1,325
0.5
0.5
2.5
8.5
0.5
13
6.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1
17
1.5
–
7.5
–
1
1
31.5
6.5
0.5
14.5
OpinionWay
6–7 May 2024
1,029
1
<1
3
6
<1
14
6
–
<1
–
–
1
–
–
1
17
2
–
6
–
1
1
30
8
3
13
Ifop
3–7 May 2024
1,325
0.5
0.5
2.5
8.5
0.5
13
6.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1
16.5
1.5
–
8
–
1
1
31.5
6
0.5
15
OpinionWay
5–6 May 2024
1,026
1
<1
3
7
<1
14
7
–
<1
–
–
1
–
–
<1
16
1
–
7
–
1
1
31
7
3
15
Ifop
2–6 May 2024
1,325
0.5
0.5
3
8
0.5
13
6.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1.5
16
1
–
8
–
0.5
1
32
6
0.5
16
Elabe
30 Apr – 3 May 2024
1,375
1
0.5
2
8.5
0.5
12
8
–
<0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
16.5
1
<0.5
6.5
–
0.5
1
32
5
2.5
15.5
Harris Interactive
30 Apr – 3 May 2024
2,043
0.5
0.5
2.5
8.5
0.5
14
5.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
0.5
–
1
15
2
<0.5
7
–
1
1
31
5.5
2.5
16
Ifop
30 Apr – 3 May 2024
1,345
0.5
0.5
3
7.5
0.5
13.5
6.5
–
<0.5
–
–
1
–
–
2
16.5
1
<0.5
7.5
–
0.5
1
31.5
6.5
0.5
15
OpinionWay
29–30 Apr 2024
1,075
<1
–
2
6
<1
14
7
–
<1
–
–
1
–
–
1
17
2
<1
7
–
1
2
31
7
3
14
Ifop
29 Apr – 2 May 2024
1,375
<0.5
0.5
3
7.5
0.5
13.5
7
–
<0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1.5
16.5
1.5
<0.5
7.5
–
1
1
31
6.5
0.5
14.5
Cluster17
29 Apr – 1 May 2024
1,337
1
0.5
2.5
8
0.5
13
6
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
2
15.5
1.5
0.5
6
–
1
2
29.5
5.5
2
14
OpinionWay
29–30 Apr 2024
1,009
1
–
4
7
<1
14
7
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
0.5
17
1
0.5
7
–
1
1
29
8
1
12
Ifop
26–30 Apr 2024
1,360
<0.5
0.5
3
7
0.5
14
7
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1
16
1.5
0.5
7.5
–
0.5
1
31.5
6.5
0.5
15.5
Harris Interactive
24–26 Apr 2024
2,319
0.5
0.5
2
9
<0.5
13
6
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
1
16
2
<0.5
7
–
1
1
31
6
2
15
Ifop
25–29 Apr 2024
1,345
<0.5
0.5
2.5
7
<0.5
14.5
7.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1.5
16
1.5
0.5
8
–
0.5
0.5
31.5
6
0.5
15.5
Odoxa
25–26 Apr 2024
1,005
1.5
1
2.5
7
<0.5
12
7
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
15.5
1.5
<0.5
8
–
1
1.5
32
5.5
0.5
16.5
BVA
25–26 Apr 2024
1,434
1
1
1.5
6.5
–
13
8
–
<0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
3
17
1
<0.5
6
1[ aw]
1
1
31
5.5
1
14
Ifop
23–26 Apr 2024
1,345
0.5
0.5
2
7.5
<0.5
14
8
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1.5
16.5
1
0.5
8
–
0.5
0.5
31.5
5.5
0.5
15
OpinionWay
24–25 Apr 2024
1,011
1
–
3
6
<1
14
6
–
<1
–
–
1
–
–
1
18
1
<1
7
–
1
2
29
8
3
11
Cluster17
23–25 Apr 2024
1,164
0.5
0.5
3
8
1
12.5
6.5
–
1
–
–
0.5
1
–
2
16
2
0.5
6
–
1
1.5
29.5
6
2
13.5
Ifop
22–25 Apr 2024
1,350
0.5
0.5
2.5
7.5
0.5
13
8
–
<0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
17.5
1
0.5
8
–
0.5
<0.5
31
5.5
1
13.5
OpinionWay
23–24 Apr 2024
1,007
1
–
3
8
<1
13
7
–
<1
–
–
1
–
–
2
18
2
<1
6
–
1
1
30
6
1
12
Ifop
20–24 Apr 2024
1,335
0.5
0.5
2.5
7
0.5
12.5
7.5
–
<0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
17.5
1.5
0.5
8.5
–
<0.5
0.5
31
5.5
1
13.5
Ipsos
19–24 Apr 2024
10,651
0.5
1
2.5
7
0.5
14
6.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1
17
1
<0.5
6.5
–
1
1
32
5.5
1.5
15
Ifop
19–23 Apr 2024
1,335
0.5
0.5
2.5
7
0.5
12
7.5
–
0.5
–
–
2
–
–
1.5
17
1
0.5
8
–
0.5
0.5
31.5
5.5
1
14.5
Harris Interactive
19–22 Apr 2024
2,319
0.5
0.5
3
8
<0.5
13
6
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
1
16
2
0.5
7
–
1
1
31
6
1.5
15
Ifop
18–22 Apr 2024
1,339
0.5
0.5
2
7
0.5
12
7.5
–
0.5
–
–
2
–
–
2
17
1
1
8
–
<0.5
1
31.5
5.5
0.5
14.5
Ifop
16–19 Apr 2024
1,371
0.5
0.5
2
8
0.5
11.5
7.5
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
2
17.5
1
0.5
8
–
<0.5
1
31.5
5.5
0.5
14
OpinionWay
17–18 Apr 2024
1,021
<1
–
3
7
<1
13
7
–
<1
–
–
2
–
–
1
19
1
<1
7
–
1
1
29
7
2
10
Ifop
15–18 Apr 2024
1,376
1
0.5
2.5
8
<0.5
11.5
7.5
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
17.5
0.5
0.5
8
–
<0.5
1
32
5.5
0.5
14.5
OpinionWay
16–17 Apr 2024
1,002
1
–
4
8
<1
12
6
–
<1
–
–
1
–
–
1
19
2
<1
7
–
1
1
29
6
2
10
Ifop
13–17 Apr 2024
1,364
0.5
0.5
2.5
7.5
0.5
11.5
7.5
–
<0.5
–
–
2
–
–
1.5
17.5
0.5
0.5
8
–
<0.5
1
32.5
5.5
0.5
15
Ifop
12–16 Apr 2024
1,349
0.5
<0.5
3
7
<0.5
12
7.5
–
<0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
18
1
0.5
8
–
<0.5
0.5
32.5
6
0.5
14.5
Harris Interactive
12–15 Apr 2024
2,005
0.5
0.5
3
8
<0.5
14
6
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
1
16
2
0.5
7
–
0.5
1
30
6
2.5
14
Ifop
11–15 Apr 2024
1,326
0.5
<0.5
3
7.5
<0.5
12
7
–
<0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1.5
18
1
0.5
8
–
<0.5
1
32.5
6
0.5
14.5
Ifop
9–12 Apr 2024
1,347
0.5
0.5
3
8
<0.5
12.5
6.5
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1
18
1
<0.5
8.5
–
0.5
0.5
31.5
6
0.5
13.5
Ipsos
10–11 Apr 2024
1,500
1
0.5
3
7
0.5
13
7
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1.5
16
0.5
0.2
6.5
–
1
1
32
6.5
1.5
16
Cluster17
9–11 Apr 2024
1,164
0.5
0.5
2.5
8.5
1
12
6
–
1
–
–
0.5
1
–
1.5
17
1
0.5
6
–
1.5
1.5
29
6
2
12
Ifop
8–11 Apr 2024
1,355
0.5
0.5
3
8
0.5
12.5
6
–
0.5
–
–
1
–
–
1.5
18
0.5
<0.5
8.5
–
0.5
0.5
31
6.5
0.5
13
Ifop
6–10 Apr 2024
1,343
0.5
0.5
2.5
8
0.5
12
5.5
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
18.5
1
<0.5
8.5
–
0.5
0.5
31.5
6.5
0.5
13
Ifop
5–9 Apr 2024
1,335
1
0.5
3
7.5
<0.5
12
5.5
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
18.5
0.5
<0.5
8
–
0.5
1
32
6.5
0.5
13.5
YouGov
3–9 Apr 2024
1,028
2
–
2
5
–
12
6
–
1[ ax]
–
1
–
–
1
19
<1
–
–
7
2[ aw]
–
–
29
9
2
10
Harris Interactive
5–8 Apr 2024
2,018
1
–
3
9
–
12
6
–
0.5
–
–
1
1
–
1
17
1
0.5
7
–
0.5
0.5
30
6
3.5
13
Ifop
4–8 Apr 2024
1,343
1
0.5
3
7.5
0.5
11
6.5
–
<0.5
–
–
1
–
–
2
19
<0.5
<0.5
7.5
–
0.5
1
32
6
1
13
OpinionWay
3–5 Apr 2024
1,509
1
–
2
7
–
12
7
–
<1[ ax]
–
1
–
–
2
19
2
<1
8
–
1
–
29
7
2
10
Elabe
2–4 Apr 2024
1,504
1.5
–
2.5
7.5
–
12
8.5
–
0.5
–
–
2
–
–
1
16.5
1
<0.5
7
–
0.5
0.5
30
5.5
3.5
13.5
Harris Interactive
28–29 Mar 2024
2,220
1
–
3
8
–
13
6
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
1
17
1
0.5
7
–
0.5
1
31
6
2.5
14
BVA
27–28 Mar 2024
1,518
1
0.5
2.5
7
–
11
6
–
<0.5
–
–
0.5
–
<0.5
1
20
1
<0.5
8
3[ aw]
1
1
30
5.5
1
10
Harris Interactive
22–25 Mar 2024
2,027
1
–
3
7
–
12
7
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
0.5
–
1
18
1
0.5
7
2
0.5
0.5
30
6
2
12
Ifop
19–20 Mar 2024
1,112
0.5
–
3
6
–
11
7
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
21
1
0.5
7
2
0.5
0.5
30
6
0.5
9
Harris Interactive
15–18 Mar 2024
2,124
1
–
2
8
–
13
7
–
0.5
–
–
0.5
1
0.5
1
18
1
0.5
7
2
0.5
0.5
30
6
1
12
OpinionWay
13–14 Mar 2024
1,008
1
–
2
6
–
11
8
–
1[ ax]
–
1
–
–
1
20
1
–
<1
8
3
1
–
27
6
3
7
Cluster17
8–9 Mar 2024
1,016
0.5
–
3
8
–
10
8
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
17
2
0.5
7
3
1
–
29
6
2
12
Elabe
5–7 Mar 2024
1,504
2
–
3
7.5
–
8.5
9.5
–
<0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
17
1
–
–
7
3
0.5
–
29.5
4.5
3
12.5
YouGov
26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024
1,008
1
–
2
6
–
10
7
–
<1[ ax]
–
1
–
–
2
20
1
–
–
6
3
–
–
33
5
3
13
Ipsos
1–6 Mar 2024
11,700
1
3.5
7
–
11.5
8.5
–
0.5
–
–
–
–
–
1.5
18
0.5
–
–
7
2.5
0.5
0.5
31
5
1.5
13
Ipsos
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024
2,000
–
–
3.0
7
–
12.2
8.1
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
18.1
–
–
–
7.6
2.5
–
–
30.7
5.5
5.4
12.6
Ifop
29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024
1,348
1
3.5
8
–
9
8
–
1[ ax]
–
1
–
–
2
19
<0.5
1.5
<0.5
8
1.5
0.5
<0.5
29
6
1
10
BVA
27–28 Feb 2024
1,344
2
–
3
7
–
11
7
–
<0.5
–
–
1.5
–
<0.5
1.5
18[ ay]
0.5
0.5
<0.5
8
2
0.5
0.5
30
6
1
12
Odoxa
21–22 Feb 2024
1,005
1.5
–
1.5
6
–
11
8.5
–
<0.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
19[ az]
1
–
–
8.5
4
–
–
30
7
2
11
Stack Data Strategy
17–22 Feb 2024
799
0.5
3.1
9.9
–
9.9
5.6
–
2.8[ ax]
–
2.6
–
–
1.4
14.5[ ba]
–
1.3
–
4.7
3.1
–
–
31.5
6.5
3.2
16.0
OpinionWay
14–15 Feb 2024
1,009
<1
–
3
7
–
10
8
–
2[ ax]
–
1
–
–
<1
19
1
–
<1
8
2
1
–
27
8
3
8
Elabe
7–9 Feb 2024
1,426
1.5
–
2.5
9
–
9
9.5
–
<0.5
–
–
2
–
–
2
16.5
1
–
–
8
3
0.5
–
27.5
5
3
11
Ifop
7–8 Feb 2024
1,356
1.5
3.5
7
–
9.5
8
–
1.5[ ax]
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
19[ az]
0.5
0.5
<0.5
7
1
0.5
0.5
29
6.5
1.5
10
1
3
7.5
–
10.5
8.5
–
1[ ax]
–
1
–
–
1
19[ ba]
1
1
<0.5
7.5
1.5
1
<0.5
28.5
6
1.5
9.5
1
3.5
8
–
10.5
8
–
1.5[ ax]
–
1.5
–
–
1.5
18[ ay]
0.5
0.5
<0.5
7.5
1.5
0.5
0.5
28
6
1.5
10
YouGov
29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024
1,001
1
–
2
8
–
8
8
–
1[ ax]
–
1
–
–
1
19[ bb]
1
–
–
6
2
–
–
32
8
3
13
Portland
24–31 Jan 2024
469
2
–
3
6
–
9
9
–
1
–
–
–
–
–
–
14
1
–
–
8
3
–
–
33
6
5
19
OpinionWay
17–18 Jan 2024
1,019
1
–
4
8
–
10
6
–
2[ ax]
–
1
–
–
1
20
<1
–
<1
8
2
–
–
27
7
3
7
Ifop
16–17 Jan 2024
1,348
0.5
4
7.5
–
9.5
7
–
1.5[ ax]
–
1.5
–
–
1
19[ bb]
<0.5
0.5
<0.5
6.5
2
<0.5
0.5
31
7
1
12
Harris Interactive
12–15 Jan 2024
1,217
1
–
3
7
–
11
8
–
1
–
–
2
–
–
1
19[ bb]
1
–
–
8
2.5
–
–
28
6
1.5
9
Ifop
12–15 Jan 2024
875
1
4
6.5
–
9
9
–
–
–
–
1
–
–
–
20[ bb]
1
–
–
7.5
3
–
–
30
6
2
10
YouGov
8–15 Jan 2024
1,004
2
2
2
7
–
8
9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
20[ bc]
–
–
–
6
4
–
–
30
7
3
10
Cluster17
13–14 Jan 2024
1,209
1
–
3
7.5
–
11
8
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
18[ bb]
1
–
–
7
3
–
–
28.5
7
2
10.5
Elabe
10–12 Jan 2024
1,400
1.5
–
3
7.5
–
9.5
8.5
–
0.5
–
–
1.5
–
–
1
18[ bc]
1
–
–
8.5
2.5
0.5
–
28.5
5
3
10.5
Ifop
3–5 Jan 2024
1,090
0.5
3
6
–
10
9
–
3[ ax]
–
2.5
–
–
1.5
17[ bc]
0.5
0.5
0.5
8
2
0.5
0.5
28
6.5
0.5
11
Odoxa
13–14 Dec 2023
1,004
2.5
–
3
6.5
–
9
6
–
0.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
21[ bc]
0.5
–
–
9
2
–
–
31
6
3
10
OpinionWay
13–14 Dec 2023
–
1
–
3
6
–
10
8
–
2[ ax]
–
<1
–
–
1
19
<1
–
<1
9
3
–
–
27
8
3
8
Ipsos
29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023
11,691
1.5
3
7.5
–
10.5
9.5
–
0.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
20[ bc]
0.5
–
–
8
2.5
–
–
28
6.5
2
8
Ifop
8–11 Dec 2023
1,062
1.5
4.5
7
–
10
8
–
–
–
–
1.5
–
–
–
18[ bc]
1
–
–
7.5
2.5
–
–
30
7.5
1
12
OpinionWay
15–16 Nov 2023
–
2
–
3
7
–
9
8
–
3[ ax]
–
<1
–
–
1
19
<1
–
–
8
2
–
–
28
7
3
9
Ipsos
9–10 Nov 2023
1,412
2
2
8.5
–
10
10
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
22[ bd]
–
–
–
6
2
–
–
29
6
2.5
7
2
2
8.5
–
10.5
10.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
20[ bc]
–
–
–
6.5
2
–
–
29
6
3
9
Ifop
12–13 Oct 2023
1,515
1
5
9
–
9
8
–
–
–
–
2
–
–
–
20[ bc]
–
–
–
8
2
–
–
28
6
2
8
1
5
9
–
9
9
–
–
–
–
1.5
–
–
–
20[ be]
–
–
–
8.5
2.5
–
–
28
5
1
8
Ifop
30–31 Aug 2023
1,126
1
5
10
–
9
8
–
–
–
–
2
–
–
–
21[ bc]
–
–
–
8
3
–
–
25
6.5
1.5
4
2
6
12[ bf]
10
–
–
–
–
2
–
–
–
23[ bc]
–
–
–
9
3
–
–
25
7
2
2
1
5
9[ bg]
–
10
8
–
–
–
–
1.5
–
–
–
21[ bc]
–
–
–
9
3
–
–
25
6.5
1
4
Cluster17
16–19 Aug 2023
983
1.5
–
3
22.5
–
2.5
–
–
5
–
–
2.5
20.5[ bc]
–
–
–
7
3
–
–
23
7
2.5
0.5
1.5
–
20.5
7.5
–
2.5
–
–
3
–
–
2.5
20[ bc]
–
–
–
7
3
–
–
23.5
7
2
3
1.5
–
25 [ bh]
–
2.5
–
–
4
–
–
2.5
20[ bc]
–
–
–
7.5
4
–
–
24
7
2
1
1
–
25 [ bi]
–
3
–
–
4
–
–
3
20[ bc]
–
–
–
7.5
3.5
–
–
24
7
1.5
1
2
–
23[ bj]
–
3
–
–
4.5
–
–
3
21[ bc]
–
–
–
7.5
3
–
–
24
7
2
1
2
–
25 [ bk]
–
2.5
–
–
4.5
–
–
2.5
20[ bc]
–
–
–
7
4
–
–
24
7
1.5
1
Ifop
4–5 Jul 2023
1,008
1
4
8
–
9
9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
20[ bc]
–
–
–
11
4
–
–
26
7
1
6
Ipsos
16–26 Jun 2023
10,631
1.5
4
8.5
–
10
10
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
21[ bc]
–
–
–
9
2.5
–
–
24
6.5
3
3
2
24
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
24[ bc]
–
–
–
10
3
–
–
25
7
5
1
1.5
5
9.5
–
15
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
23[ bc]
–
–
–
9
2.5
–
–
25
6.5
3
2
Elabe
19–21 Jun 2023
1,397
1.5
2
8.5
–
9.5
11
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
22.5
–
–
–
8.5
2.5
–
–
26
5.5
2.5
3.5
1.5
24.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26
–
–
–
9
2.5
–
–
27
5.5
4
1
Cluster17
17–19 May 2023
1,760
2
4
11
–
9
11
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
19.5[ bc]
–
–
–
7.5
3
–
–
24
6.5
3.5
4.5
2
27
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
23[ bc]
–
–
–
8.5
4
–
–
25.5
7
3
1.5
Ifop
10–11 May 2023
1,310
1
5
10
–
10
10
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
19[ bc]
–
–
–
8
3
–
–
25
6
3
6
2
26 [ bl]
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
22[ bc]
–
–
–
11
3
–
–
26
6
4
Tie
Harris Interactive
5–9 May 2023
1,262
2
23[ bm]
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
3
26
–
–
–
13
2
–
–
21
5
5
3
1
19[ bm]
5
–
6
–
–
–
–
3
24
–
–
–
12
2
–
–
20
5
3
4
1
3
9
–
10
11
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
1
23
–
–
–
12
2
–
–
20
5
3
3
2019 European election
26 May 2019
–
0.8
[ bn]
2.5
6.3
6.2
13.5
1.8[ bo]
[ bp]
–
0.1
[ bq]
–
0.1
2.2
24.9[ br]
–
–
–
8.5
3.5
1.2
0.6
23.3
–
7.0
0.9
Germany
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Union EPP
Grüne G/EFA
SPD S&D
AfD NI
Linke Left
FDP Renew
PARTEI NI
FW Renew
Tiersch. Left
ÖDP G/EFA
FAM EPP
Volt G/EFA
PIRAT G/EFA
BSW NI
Others
Lead
Wahlkreisprognose
6–7 Jun 2024
1,000
30
13.5
12.5
15.5
2.5
4.5
—
2.5
—
—
—
—
—
7.5
11.5
14.5
Wahlkreisprognose
4–6 Jun 2024
1,300
31
14.5
14.5
14
2.5
4
—
2
—
—
—
—
—
6.5
11
16.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
5–6 Jun 2024
1,223
30
14
14
14
3
4
—
—
—
—
—
3
—
7
13
16
Ipsos
29 May–5 Jun 2024
2,000
30
15
15
14
3
5
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
7
8
15
Wahlkreisprognose
27 May – 1 Jun 2024
2,000
30.5
15
13.5
15
3
4
1.5
2.5
1.5
—
—
—
—
6
7.5
15.5
INSA
30–31 May 2024
1,001
29
13
14
16
3
4
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
7
11
13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
27–29 May 2024
1,197
30
15
14
14
4
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
6
13
15
Infratest dimap
27–29 May 2024
1,515
29
14
15
14
3
4
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
6
12
14
INSA
23–24 May 2024
1,002
30
13
14
17
3
4
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
7
9
13
Wahlkreisprognose
13–21 May 2024
2,600
31
15
12.5
16
3
3.5
1.5
2.5
2
—
—
—
—
6.5
6.5
15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
14–16 May 2024
1,247
31
15
14
15
3
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
5
13
16
INSA
10–13 May 2024
2,100
29
13
15.5
17
4
4
—
3
2
—
—
—
—
7
5.5
12
YouGov
3–8 May 2024
1,247
29
15
16
20
4
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
6
6
9
Infratest dimap
29–30 Apr 2024
1,323
30
15
14
15
—
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7
15
15
INSA
25–26 Apr 2024
1,202
29
13
16
17
4
4
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
7
7
12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
23–25 Apr 2024
1,228
30
17
15
15
3
3
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4
13
13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
9–11 Apr 2024
1,254
30
15
16
16
3
3
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
5
12
14
INSA
5–8 Apr 2024
2,100
28.5
11.5
16.5
19
4
5
—
3
2
—
—
—
—
6
4
9.5
Ipsos
23 Feb–02 Mar 2024
2,613
29
16
17
16
4
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7
4
12
Forsa
12–13 Mar 2024
1,008
34
14
16
15
2
3
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
4
9
18
INSA
8–11 Mar 2024
2,100
28.5
11
16
20
4.5
6
1
2.5
2
—
0.5
0.5
0.5
5.5
1.5
8.5
Ipsos
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
2,613
29
16
17
16
4
4
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
7
4[ bs]
12
Wahlkreisprognose
24–29 Feb 2024
1,900
31.5
16
12
16
2
3
1.5
3.5
2.5
—
—
—
—
7.5
4.5
15.5
Stack Data Strategy
17–22 Feb 2024
980
25.5
9.8
16.5
15.1
2.7
6.0
3.2
4.1
3.1
—
—
1.3
1.2
9.3
3.4
9.0
INSA
8–12 Feb 2024
2,101
27
10.5
16
22
4.5
3
1
3.5
3
—
1
1
1
5.5
1.5
5
Portland
24–31 Jan 2024
555
29
13
16
17
3
5
1
3
3
0
0
1
1
6
2
12
Wahlkreisprognose
11–18 Jan 2024
1,440
28
13
9
23
3
4.5
1.5
5
1.5
—
—
—
—
7
4.5
5
Wahlkreisprognose
1–7 Dec 2023
1,440
31
12
10
25
3
3
1.5
2.5
2
—
—
—
—
7
3
6
INSA
31 Jul 2023
1,001
26
15
19
23
5
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
6
3
Wahlkreisprognose
7–14 Jul 2023
1,040
23
13.5
15
22
2.5
3.5
2
3
1.5
—
—
—
—
8.5
5.5
1
Wahlkreisprognose
15–16 Dec 2022
1,100
22
21
21
18.5
3.5
3.5
2
3.5
2.5
—
—
—
—
—
2.5
1
Wahlkreisprognose
24–26 Feb 2022
1,722
22
19.5
22.5
12.5
3
7.5
2.5
3
2
—
—
—
—
—
5.5
0.5
2021 federal election
26 Sep 2021
–
24.2
14.7
25.7
10.4
4.9
11.4
1.0
2.4
1.5
0.2
—
0.4
0.4
—
2.9
1.6
2019 European election
26 May 2019
–
28.9
20.5
15.8
11.0
5.5
5.4
2.4
2.2
1.4
1.0
0.7
0.7
0.7
—
3.8
8.4
Greece
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
ND EPP
SYRIZA Left
PASOK S&D
KKE NI
XA [ bt] NI
EL ECR
MeRA25 Left
PE NI
R NI
Antarsya NI
SP NI
NIKI NI
FL PfE
NA Left
DIMO Renew
KOS G/EFA
PAT NI
Other
Lead
2024 EP election
9 Jun 2024
—
28.3
14.9
12.8
9.3
–
9.3
2.5
3.4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
13.4
GPO/Parapolitika[ 137]
4–7 Jun 2024
1,200
32.3
16.1
12.9
8.5
–
8.8
2.4
3.7
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16.2
Pulse RC/Skai[ 138]
4–6 Jun 2024
1,169
31.3
16.2
12.8
7.8
–
8.4
3.3
3.3
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
15.1
MRB/Open[ 139]
4–6 Jun 2024
1,212
31.5
16.0
12.4
8.0
–
8.5
3.0
3.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
15.5
Interview/Political[ 140]
30 May–6 Jun 2024
2,755
30.0
17.2
11.4
7.2
–
8.1
2.4
2.8
1.1
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
12.8
Marc/AΝΤ1[ 141]
3–5 Jun 2024
1,205
33.0
16.6
11.7
7.8
–
8.4
2.8
4.3
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16.4
Good Affairs/To Vima[ 142]
2–5 Jun 2024
2,048
32.1
16.7
12.1
8.1
–
8.0
2.5
2.8
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
15.4
Metron Analysis/Mega[ 143]
28 May–5 Jun 2024
1,606
32.0
15.5
12.0
7.5
–
8.5
3.0
4.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16.5
Alco/Alpha[ 144]
2–4 Jun 2024
1,000
31.1
15.2
12.7
8.0
–
8.6
3.5
3.1
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
15.9
Prorata/Attica[ 145]
29 May–4 Jun 2024
1,000
32.4
13.7
13.2
9.3
–
9.3
2.8
4.4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
18.7
Interview/Politic[ 146]
30 May–3 Jun 2024
2,005
33.8
16.7
11.1
7.8
–
7.8
4.4
2.8
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
17.1
Opinion Poll/Action24[ 147]
29 May–1 Jun 2024
1,201
33.0
16.2
12.3
8.0
–
9.0
2.6
3.7
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16.8
Marc/Proto Thema[ 148]
29–31 May 2024
1,003
34.5
16.7
11.9
7.3
–
8.4
2.7
4.2
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
17.8
Pulse RC/Skai[ 149]
27–30 May 2024
1,203
32.0
16.5
13.0
7.5
–
8.5
3.5
3.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
15.5
MARC/ANT1[ 150]
27–30 May 2024
1,207
33.4
16.5
11.8
7.6
–
8.8
3.0
4.6
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16.9
GPO/Star[ 151]
27–29 May 2024
1,200
33.1
16.2
13.2
8.2
–
8.4
2.0
3.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16.9
Prorata/Attica[ 152]
22–28 May 2024
1,000
33.3
12.0
13.0
11.2
–
8.5
1.7
3.9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
20.3
Metron Analysis/Mega[ 153]
20–24 May 2024
1,311
31.0
15.7
12.9
7.9
–
7.3
3.3
4.2
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
15.3
Good Affairs/Dailypost[ 154]
18–25 May 2024
1,000
31.1
16.3
11.1
7.8
–
8.1
1.6
3.0
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
14.8
Opinion Poll/Action24[ 155]
15–16 May 2024
1,006
33.3
15.5
12.1
8.3
–
9.9
2.3
3.8
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
17.8
GPO/Parapolitika[ 156]
13–16 May 2024
1,200
33.3
15.6
13.2
8.6
–
8.6
2.2
3.2
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
17.7
Alco/Alpha[ 157]
13–15 May 2024
1,000
32.5
16.0
13.0
9.0
—
10.0
2.2
3.3
—
—
—
3.5
2.4
2.9
2.5
—
—
3.0
16.5
Pulse RC/Skai[ 158]
13–15 May 2024
1,104
33.0
16.0
12.5
8.0
—
9.0
3.0
3.5
—
—
—
3.5
2.4
3.0
2.1
—
1.2
2.8
17.0
MARC/ANT1[ 159]
10–15 May 2024
1,209
33.8
15.2
12.2
8.0
—
8.3
3.0
4.5
—
—
—
3.2
2.8
3.0
2.5
—
—
3.3
18.6
MRB/Open[ 160]
10–14 May 2024
1,100
32.3
16.0
14.0
8.0
—
9.9
2.2
3.4
—
—
—
2.9
2.8
3.8
2.4
—
—
2.2
16.3
Interview/Politic[ 161]
8–13 May 2024
2,405
33.3
17.2
12.2
6.7
—
7.8
2.6
2.7
1.6
—
—
3.4
2.7
5.0
2.6
—
—
11.8
16.1
Good Affairs/To Vima[ 162]
—
—
31.8
16.1
11.8
8.3
—
10.3
2.3
3.1
—
—
—
4.2
2.1
2.8
2.6
1.1
—
15.7
Marc/Proto Thema[ 163]
18–25 Apr 2024
1,049
33.4
14.7
11.4
8.5
—
9.8
2.4
5.4
—
—
2.4
3.4
2.2
2.5
1.7
—
—
2.2
18.7
GPO/Parapolitika[ 164]
17–22 Apr 2024
1,400
33.6
16.3
13.5
8.8
—
9.1
2.1
3.1
—
—
2.4
3.4
—
2.7
2.2
—
—
2.8
17.3
Metron Analysis/Mega[ 165]
10–16 Apr 2024
1,304
32.3
15.4
12.0
9.8
—
8.3
1.6
4.2
—
—
2.5
3.6
1.4
3.1
2.0
1.0
—
2.8
16.9
Prorata/Attica[ 166]
5–10 Apr 2024
1,000
29.5
15.0
12.7
9.2
—
9.8
2.3
4.6
—
—
1.7
3.5
1.7
4.0
1.7
1.2
—
3.0
14.5
Opinion Poll/Action 24[ 167]
8–10 Apr 2024
1,006
32.1
15.0
12.4
8.5
—
10.7
1.3
3.7
—
—
2.6
3.7
1.4
3.2
3.0
—
—
2.3
17.1
Interview/Politic[ 168] [ 169]
4–8 Apr 2024
2,355
27.7
16.1
12.7
6.9
—
11.8
2.4
2.8
1.7
—
1.2
4.3
2.3
4.7
2.2
—
—
3.2
11.6
Alco/Alpha[ 170]
2–5 Apr 2024
1,000
29.9
14.3
13.3
9.4
—
9.6
2.3
4.1
—
—
2.7
4.2
1.4
3.0
2.2
—
—
3.5
15.6
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[ 171]
1–4 Apr 2024
1,008
31.8
14.1
13.0
9.4
—
10.3
—
4.2
—
—
3.3
3.5
—
4.0
—
—
—
6.6
17.7
GPO/Parapolitika[ 172]
1–3 Apr 2024
1,000
33.4
15.9
14.2
9.0
—
9.5
1.8
3.0
—
—
2.2
3.3
—
2.2
2.2
—
—
3.3
17.5
MRB/Open[ 173]
1–3 Apr 2024
1,000
31.5
15.9
13.4
8.1
—
9.9
1.9
4.3
—
—
2.1
3.6
1.8
3.8
1.6
—
—
2.3
15.6
Pulse RC/Skai[ 174]
1–3 Apr 2024
1,105
33.0
15.0
12.5
8.5
—
9.0
2.5
3.5
—
—
3.0
3.5
1.8
3.0
1.8
—
—
2.9
18.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[ 175]
15–20 Mar 2024
1,010
34.4
13.4
12.5
9.4
—
10.1
1.9
2.9
—
—
2.5
4.3
—
2.9
2.8
—
—
2.8
21.0
Metron Analysis/Mega[ 176]
12–19 Mar 2024
1,317
31.4
15.1
13.0
10.1
—
9.7
1.9
4.3
—
0.6
2.0
3.2
2.4
3.0
1.0
0.6
—
1.7
16.3
Good Affairs/To Vima[ 177]
12–14 Mar 2024
3,229
30.8
13.1
12.9
8.2
—
9.8
2.2
2.1
—
—
2.2
3.6
—
2.5
2.9
—
—
1.5
17.7
Marc/Proto Thema[ 178]
11–14 Mar 2024
1,086
36.2
13.4
12.6
9.4
—
9.2
2.4
3.1
—
—
2.6
2.8
—
2.6
2.1
—
—
3.7
22.8
GPO/Star[ 179]
11–13 Mar 2024
1,200
34.8
14.3
13.9
9.5
—
8.0
2.3
2.9
—
—
1.8
3.4
—
3.0
2.6
—
—
3.5
20.5
Interview/Politic[ 180]
7–11 Mar 2024
2,250
29.1
14.4
12.4
7.1
—
12.0
—
2.5
—
—
1.8
4.6
—
4.9
—
—
—
11.3
14.7
Alco/Alpha[ 181]
1–6 Mar 2024
1,000
32.8
12.7
14.1
10.8
—
7.9
2.8
3.6
—
—
2.9
4.5
—
3.4
—
—
—
4.0
18.7
Ipsos/Euronews[ 182]
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
1,000
35.0
13.6
13.4
9.0
—
8.7
<3.0
3.2
—
—
2.9
4.0
—
3.3
—
—
—
3.9
21.4
Pulse RC/Skai[ 183]
27 Feb–1 Mar 2024
1,106
35.5
14.0
14.0
9.0
—
8.5
2.5
3.0
—
—
3.0
4.0
—
3.0
—
—
—
3.5
21.5
GPO/Parapolitika[ 184]
26–29 Feb 2024
1,000
36.4
13.5
14.4
10.7
—
8.2
2.4
2.7
—
—
2.2
3.4
—
2.9
—
—
—
3.2
22.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[ 185]
21–27 Feb 2024
1,504
33.9
11.9
13.9
10.1
—
10.2
2.6
3.5
—
—
2.7
4.2
—
3.3
—
—
—
3.7
20.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[ 186]
13–16 Feb 2024
1,004
34.3
12.5
14.6
9.4
—
9.5
2.4
3.7
—
—
2.7
3.8
—
3.3
—
—
—
3.8
19.7
Interview/Politic[ 187]
6–12 Feb 2024
2,155
33.3
14.2
12.8
8.3
—
9.1
—
2.6
—
—
2.1
5.1
—
5.1
—
—
—
9.7
19.1
Alco/Alpha[ 188]
1–7 Feb 2024
1,201
34.5
12.6
15.0
11.2
—
7.5
2.2
3.1
—
—
2.8
3.9
—
2.6
—
—
—
4.3
19.5
GPO/Star[ 189]
20–25 Jan 2024
1,100
38.8
14.0
14.2
9.6
—
7.2
2.7
2.6
—
—
2.2
3.3
—
3.0
—
—
—
2.4
24.6
MRB/Open[ 190]
22–24 Jan 2024
1,000
36.1
12.1
12.1
9.3
—
9.5
2.8
4.0
—
—
2.8
3.7
—
2.7
—
—
—
4.8
24.0
Marc/Ant1[ 191]
17–23 Jan 2024
1,092
37.1
12.6
16.8
9.4
—
7.0
2.9
3.0
—
—
3.1
3.1
—
2.4
—
—
—
2.6
20.3
Interview/Politic[ 192]
10–15 Jan 2024
2,388
31.5
14.1
14.2
10.8
—
8.0
—
2.3
—
—
2.6
5.2
—
4.1
—
—
—
7.2
17.3
Prorata/Attica[ 193]
5–9 Jan 2024
1,000
36.6
12.8
15.9
11.0
—
6.1
1.8
3.0
—
—
3.7
3.7
—
3.7
—
—
—
1.8
20.7
Alco/Alpha[ 194]
2–5 Jan 2024
1,002
35.3
13.8
14.3
11.3
—
6.9
2.4
3.3
—
—
3.2
3.3
—
2.7
—
—
—
3.6
21.0
Interview/Politic[ 195]
4–8 Dec 2023
2,356
34.0
16.1
14.4
7.9
—
7.6
—
3.0
—
—
2.3
3.8
—
2.9
—
—
—
7.9
17.9
GPO/Parapolitika[ 196]
5–7 Dec 2023
1,000
41.7
12.1
13.5
10.3
—
6.6
1.9
2.1
—
—
3.4
2.4
—
3.7
—
—
—
2.3
28.3
2019 election
26 May 2019
–
33.1
23.8
7.7
5.4
4.9
4.2
3.0[ bu]
1.6
0.7
0.4
1.5[ bv]
—
—
—
—
—
—
13.7
9.3
Hungary
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Fidesz-KDNP PfE
Momentum Renew
DK S&D
MSZP S&D
Párbeszéd G/EFA
LMP G/EFA
Jobbik NI
MMN EPP
MH ESN
MKKP G/EFA
MEMO EPP
NP NI
2RK NI
TISZA EPP
Other
Lead
Publicus
3–5 June 2024
1,001
43
4
15
1
2
–
5
4
–
–
–
25
1
18
Medián
27-29 May 2024
1,000
48
5
9
0
1
1
6
2
–
–
1
29
–
19
IDEA
20–29 May 2024
1,500
44
4
12
0
0
1
5
4
–
–
2
26
2
18
Társadalomkutató
May 2024
4,000
51
1
8
2
1
1
4
5
–
–
1
25
–
26
Real-PR 93
27-29 May 2024
1,000
45
1
10
–
1
1
5
7
1
–
2
28
–
17
Alapjogokért Központ
22-24 May 2024
1,000
47
2
8
1
1
1
6
6
1
–
1
26
–
21
Századvég
20-28 May 2024
1,000
45
3
10
1
1
1
6
9
–
–
1
23
–
22
Nézőpont
20-22 May 2024
1,000
47
1
9
1
1
1
7
7
1
–
1
24
–
23
Závecz Research
2–10 May 2024
1,000
39
4
17
1
1
2
6
3
–
–
1
26
0
13
IDEA
25 Apr–4 May 2024
1,500
40
4
17
0
1
1
4
5
–
2
3
21
2
19
Nézőpont
29 Apr – 2 May 2024
1,000
48
1
12
1
1
1
5
7
–
0
3
21
–
27
Publicus
26–30 Apr 2024
1,000
42
3
24
1
1
–
4
2
–
–
–
23
–
18
Medián
26–29 Apr 2024
1,000
45
4
9
1
1
2
4
6
–
1
2
25
–
20
Iránytű
17–19 Apr 2024
1,073
50
3
10
–
1
–
3
4
–
–
2
26
1
24
9–12 Apr 2024
53
3
9
–
2
–
6
4
–
–
1
20
2
33
Závecz Research
4–11 Apr 2024
1,000
33
7
26
3
1
–
8
5
–
–
–
14
3
7
Nézőpont
2–4 Apr 2024
1,000
47
4
13
1
1
1
6
11
–
2
2
13
2
34
Ipsos
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
1,025
47.6
7.2
16.5
–
–
2.6
2.8
3.0
9.6
4.2
2.0
–
–
–
4.7
31.1
Nézőpont
26–28 Feb 2024
1,000
47
7
14
2
2
2
2
4
8
8
–
10
40
–
–
33
21 Kutatóközpont
22–26 Feb 2024
1,200
44
9
18
2
1
2
3
3
7
8
–
1
2
–
–
26[ bw]
44
9
17
1
1
3
2
5
5
6
–
3
3
–
–
27[ bx]
Republikon
Jun 2023
–
46
7
19
4
6
6
–
9
4
–
–
–
–
–
27
Nézőpont
15–17 May 2023
1,000
51
9
16
2
1
3
5
–
6
3
–
–
–
–
4
35
Závecz Research
28 Apr–5 May 2023
1,000
46
8
19
6
2
4
6
–
7
3
–
–
–
–
–
27
Nézőpont
2–4 Jan 2023
1,000
56
6
14
2
1
3
2
6
–
4
–
–
–
–
6
42
2022 parliamentary election
3 Apr 2022
–
54.1
34.4
5.9
3.3
1.0
–
–
–
1.3
19.7
2019 election
26 May 2019
–
52.6
9.9
16.1
6.6
2.2
6.3
–
3.3
2.6
–
–
–
–
0.4
36.5
Italy
Exit poll
Fieldwork date
Polling firm
Sample size
Lega ID
PD S&D
M5S NI
FI EPP
NM EPP
FdI ECR
AVS Left –G/EFA
PTD [ by] Left
SUE
A Renew
DSP NI
Italexit NI
Libertà NI
Others
Lead
+E Renew
IV Renew
8–9 Jun 2024
Consorzio Opinio
–
8–10
21–25
10–14
8.5–10.5
26–30
5–7
1–3
3.5–5.5
2.5–4.5
–
–
0–2
0–3
9–1
20–24 May 2024
SWG
2,000
8.6
22.0
14.7
8.6
27.3
4.6
2.5
4.2
4.0
2.0
5.3
25–25 May 2024
Noto
1,000
9.0
20.5
15.0
9.0
28.0
4.0
2.2
4.0
4.0
3.0
7.5
22–23 May 2024
Demopolis
2,000
8.8
22.0
14.5
8.7
27.0
4.3
2.2
4.2
3.7
2.8
5.0
21–22 May 2024
Eumetra
800
8.7
21.1
16.2
8.9
27.1
4.2
2.2
4.5
3.8
2.0
6.0
22–23 May 2024
Termometro
3,900
9.0
19.6
15.7
8.5
26.8
4.0
2.5
4.5
3.9
1.8
1.0
7.2
19–23 May 2024
Quorum
1,604
9.0
20.3
15.9
8.5
27.2
4.9
1.9
4.1
3.9
0.9
0.5
6.9
19–23 May 2024
EMG
2,000
9.3
20.9
15.7
7.9
26.9
4.2
4.5
3.7
6.0
20–21 May 2024
Ipsos
1,000
8.6
22.5
15.4
9.2
26.5
4.6
1.9
4.1
3.6
2.0
0.7
4.0
19–21 May 2024
Cluster 17
1,051
8.7
20.8
15.5
8.2
26.9
4.3
2.2
4.6
3.7
1.0
2.2
1.9
7.1
20–21 May 2024
Bidimedia
1,190
9.1
21.2
15.2
8.3
27.1
4.4
2.0
4.6
4.0
2.5
1.6
6.0
17–22 Apr 2024
SWG
1,200
8.5
20.0
15.9
8.4
26.8
4.3
2.1
4.7
4.1
1.4
2.2
1.6
6.8
17–19 Apr 2024
Quorum
801
7.2
20.5
16.5
7.6
27.8
4.4
1.9
5.0
3.3
1.6
4.2
7.3
17–18 Apr 2024
Demos
1,005
8.5
20.2
16.4
8.0
28.0
4.2
4.1
4.0
6.6
7.8
16–18 Apr 2024
Termometro Politico
4,100
8.5
19.7
16.1
8.3
27.5
3.2
2.5
5.2
3.8
1.9
1.6
1.7
7.8
16–17 Apr 2024
Eumetra
8.5
19.7
16.4
8.3
27.4
3.8
1.9
5.1
3.8
1.3
1.9
2.0
7.7
10–15 Apr 2024
SWG
1,200
8.6
19.4
16.0
8.4
27.2
4.1
1.8
5.2
4.2
1.4
1.9
1.8
7.8
13 Apr 2024
Tecnè
7.9
19.8
16.2
10.1
27.3
3.7
1.6
5.5
3.6
2.0
2.3
7.5
8–12 Apr 2024
Ixè
1,000
8.0
19.9
16.4
8.4
26.6
4.2
1.1
4.0
3.7
1.3
6.4
6.7
9–11 Apr 2024
Termometro Politico
3,700
8.8
19.5
15.6
8.0
27.8
3.3
2.4
5.1
3.9
1.8
1.8
2.4
8.3
8–9 Apr 2024
Demopolis
2,000
8.0
20.0
15.8
8.7
27.0
3.8
2.2
4.6
3.5
2.1
2.0
7.0
3–8 Apr 2024
SWG
1,200
8.8
19.8
15.6
7.8
26.9
3.9
1.6
5.3
4.0
1.4
1.5
3.4
7.1
8 Apr 2024
Euromedia
800
8.7
19.7
17.6
8.5
26.9
3.7
1.8
4.4
3.8
3.7
1.2
7.2
5 Apr 2024
EMG
–
7.8
20.2
16.7
9.0
1.0
27.2
3.3
1.2
6.2
3.2
4.2
7.0
4–5 Apr 2024
Quorum
801
7.5
19.8
16.0
7.8
27.7
3.9
2.2
4.6
3.1
1.6
4.7
7.9
2–4 Apr 2024
EMG
1,000
7.8
20.2
16.7
9.0
27.2
3.3
1.2
6.2
3.2
5.2
7.0
28–30 Mar 2024
BiDiMedia
2,000
8.3
20.2
16.6
7.1
27.1
4.4
1.5
5.1
4.4
1.3
1.1
2.7
6.9
27 Mar 2024
Euromedia
800
8.8
19.3
17.5
8.0
0.7
27.5
3.5
2.0
4.7
4.0
1.7
2.3
8.2[ bz]
8.7
19.5
17.5
8.3
0.6
27.9
3.0
2.0
4.8
4.1
1.7
1.9
8.5[ ca]
19–25 Mar 2024
Ipsos
1,000
8.0
20.5
16.1
8.7
0.7
27.5
3.3
1.5
2.8
3.3
2.5
1.2
1.5
2.4
7.0
20 Mar 2024
Ipsos
–
8.2
19.0
17.4
8.2
27.0
4.1
2.6
3.4
3.0
7.1
8.0
19 Mar 2024
Noto
–
8.0
19.0
17.0
8.0
2.0
28.0
3.5
2.5
3.0
3.5
5.5
9.0[ bz]
7.0
20.0
16.0
8.0
2.0
30.0
3.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
5.0
10.0[ ca]
11 Mar 2024
Euromedia
800
8.7
19.7
17.2
7.7
0.7
28.0
3.9
2.7
3.5
4.0
4.0
8.3[ bz]
8.6
20.2
16.9
8.2
0.4
28.7
3.4
1.5
3.8
4.0
3.3
8.5[ ca]
7 Mar 2024
Noto
–
8.0
19.5
16.5
7.5
2.0
27.0
4.0
3.5
3.0
3.5
5.5
7.5[ bz]
7.5
20.5
16.5
8.0
1.5
29.0
3.5
3.5
3.0
3.0
4.0
8.5[ ca]
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024
Ipsos
1,503
8.2
19.0
17.4
8.2
27.0
4.1
2.6
3.4
3.0
7.1
8.0
28 Feb – 1 Mar 2024
Quorum
803
8.1
19.9
15.9
6.6
0.7
27.1
4.6
3.4
3.5
3.7
1.6
4.9
7.2
28 Feb 2024
Euromedia
800
8.6
19.6
17.0
7.9
1.4
27.6
4.0
2.6
3.1
4.3
3.9
8.0[ bz]
8.7
20.0
17.2
8.5
1.2
28.1
3.9
2.5
3.5
4.0
2.4
8.1[ ca]
26–28 Feb 2024
Bidimedia
1,000
8.5
20.0
15.5
7.5
0.8
28.1
3.9
1.5
2.4
3.0
4.3
1.2
1.3
2.0
8.1
25–28 Feb 2024
Cluster17
1,022
9.1
19.7
16.0
7.6
0.4
27.3
4.6
0.7
2.1
3.0
4.0
1.6
1.9
2.1
7.6
20–22 Feb 2024
Ipsos
1,000
8.3
18.3
17.0
7.9
1.1
28.2
3.5
1.8
2.2
3.6
3.3
1.0
2.0
1.8
9.9
17–22 Feb 2024
Stack Data Strategy
944
8.7
19.9
15.5
6.6
0.9
27.1
3.7
1.4
4.2
4.9
3.3
1.7
2.1
7.3
21 Feb 2024
Noto
–
8.0
19.5
18.0
7.0
2.0
27.5
3.5
3.5
3.0
3.5
4.5
8.0
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024
Termometro Politico
3,800
9.4
19.6
16.2
6.8
29.1
3.0
1.5
2.4
2.6
3.8
1.7
1.4
2.5
9.5
30–31 Jan 2024
Demopolis
–
9.0
20.0
15.8
7.2
28.0
3.6
2.0
2.7
3.8
8.1
8.0
24–31 Jan 2024
Portland
502
7.0
21.0
16.0
10.0
28.0
3.0
2.0
3.0
5.0
2.0
1.0
2.0[ cb]
7.0
24–27 Jan 2024
BiDiMedia
1,000
9.0
19.3
16.1
6.6
1.0
28.6
3.8
1.3
2.5
3.1
4.2
1.3
1.2
2.0
9.3
25–26 Jan 2024
Quorum
803
9.3
19.2
13.6
6.5
1.6
28.4
4.3
2.6
2.9
3.7
1.5
6.4
9.2
22–24 Jan 2024
Winpoll
1,000
9.1
21.5
14.6
7.8
27.8
3.0
1.5
2.4
2.5
3.2
1.3
5.3[ cc]
6.3
12–22 Jan 2024
Euromedia
800
8.4
19.5
17.8
7.5
0.3
28.5
3.4
2.5
2.8
4.3
1.4
3.6
9.0[ bz]
8.2
19.0
18.1
7.2
0.3
29.3
3.3
2.4
3.3
4.6
1.4
2.9
9.3[ ca]
16 Jan 2024
Noto
–
8.0
19.5
17.0
7.0
2.0
28.0
3.5
2.0
3.0
3.0
7.0
8.5[ cd]
6.5
20.0
17.0
6.5
1.5
32.0
4.0
2.0
3.0
3.0
4.5
12.0[ ca]
15–16 Jan 2024
Tecnè
800
8.4
19.8
15.6
9.2
29.0
2.9
3.9
11.2
9.2[ bz]
8.3
19.5
15.6
9.3
29.3
2.9
3.9
11.0
9.8[ ca]
4 Jan 2024
IZI
1,068
9.3
19.5
17.0
7.4
27.1
4.2
3.0
3.0
3.5
6.0
7.6
30 Dec – 4 Jan 2024
Lab2101
1,000
10.2
19.8
16.2
5.8
0.7
29.4
4.0
2.3
2.8
3.9
2.3
2.6
9.6
26 May 2019
2019 European election
–
34.3
22.7
17.1
8.8
6.4
4.1[ ce]
3.1
–
–
0.9
–
–
4.5
7.6
Ireland
National polls
Dublin
Midlands–North-West
South
Latvia
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
JV EPP
S S&D
NA ECR
LA Renew
Par! Renew
ZZS
AS
JKP
PRO G/EFA
TZV
CP
TVS
S!
LPV
SV
AJ
Lead
SKDS/LTV[ 206]
March 2024
1.505
16.6 (1)
10.1 (1)
17.1 (2)
8.9 (1)
1.5
3.4
6.1 (1)
3.5
9.6 (1)
0.2
2.1
0.6
6.4 (1)
8.2 (1)
3.8
1.9
0.5
SKDS/LTV[ 207]
10-14 February 2024
1,505
17.9 (2)
9.1 (1)
16.5 (1)
9.2 (1)
0.6
4.0
7.4 (1)
3.5
8.9 (1)
0.8
2.1
0.5
7.5 (1)
6.6 (1)
3.2
2.3
1.4
2019 election
25 May 2019
–
26.4 (2)
17.6 (2)
16.5 (2)
12.5 (1)
5.6 (0)
5.0
4.4
2.9
0.9
6.8 (1)[ ck]
0.2
8.7
Lithuania
Luxembourg
No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.
Malta
It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together or excluded in polls by Maltese media houses.
Netherlands
Exit poll
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Total
GL–PvdA
VVD Renew
CDA EPP
FvD NI
D66 Renew
SGP ECR
CU EPP
PvdD Left
50PLUS Renew
PVV ID
SP Left
Volt G/EFA
BBB EPP
NSC EPP
Lead
Ref
PvdA S&D
GL G/EFA
Ipsos
6 Jun 2024
–
31
8
4
3
0
3
1
0
1
0
7
0
1
2
1
1
[ 211]
Peil.nl
5 Jun 2024
–
31
8
4
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
8
0
2
1
1
Tie
[ 212]
Ipsos
3–5 Jun 2024
2,030
31
8
5
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
8
1
1
1
2
Tie
[ 213]
Ipsos
24–27 May 2024
2,048
31
8
5
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
9
1
2
1
1
1
[ 214]
I&O Research
17–21 May 2024
2,141
31
7
4
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
9
1
2
1
1
2
[ 215]
Peil.nl
17–18 May 2024
–
31
8
5
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
8
1
1
1
1
Tie
[ 216]
I&O Research
10–14 May 2024
2,102
31
8
4
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
8
1
2
0
1
Tie
[ 215]
Peil.nl
3–4 May 2024
–
31
8
5
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
8
1
1
1
1
Tie
[ 217]
I&O Research
12–15 Apr 2024
2,182
31
7
5
2
0
3
1
0
1
0
8
1
1
1
1
1
[ 218]
I&O Research
22–25 Mar 2024
1,586
31
7
5
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
10
0
2
1
0
3
[ 215]
Ipsos
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024
1,890
31
6
5
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
9
1
2
1
2
3
[ 219]
2019 election
23 May 2019
–
29
6
3
5
4
4
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
–
–
1
Exit poll
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
GL–PvdA
VVD Renew
CDA EPP
FvD NI
D66 Renew
SGP ECR
CU EPP
PvdD Left
50PLUS Renew
PVV ID
SP Left
Volt G/EFA
JA21 ECR
BBB EPP
NSC EPP
Others
Lead
Ref
PvdA S&D
GL G/EFA
Ipsos
6 Jun 2024
–
21.6%
11.6%
9.7%
2.5%
8.1%
3.4%
2.7%
4.4%
0.8%
17.7%
2.0%
4.9%
–
5.3%
3.8%
1.7%
3.9%
[ 220]
Ipsos
3–5 Jun 2024
2,030
19.5%
13.8%
6.1%
2.7%
7.1%
2.4%
2.7%
3.6%
0.6%
21.3%
3.6%
4.4%
–
4.0%
5.0%
3.3%
1.8%
[ 221]
Ipsos
24–27 May 2024
2,048
20.3%
12.5%
5.3%
3.2%
6.4%
2.3%
3.0%
3.1%
0.6%
22.7%
3.2%
6.3%
–
3.9%
4.7%
2.5%
2.4%
[ 222]
I&O Research
17–21 May 2024
2,141
19.3%
10.9%
5.7%
2.9%
7.1%
3.8%
3.0%
4.5%
–
23.0%
3.3%
5.9%
1.4%
4.4%
3.5%
1.4%
3.7%
[ 215]
I&O Research
10–14 May 2024
2,102
21.3%
11.8%
5.8%
3.6%
6.8%
3.8%
3.3%
3.2%
–
22.5%
3.4%
5.4%
0.8%
3.2%
3.5%
1.8%
1.2%
[ 215]
I&O Research
12–15 Apr 2024
2,182
18.7%
12.6%
5.4%
3.1%
7.8%
3.3%
3.0%
4.6%
–
22.0%
3.6%
4.7%
1.1%
4.3%
4.2%
1.6%
3.3%
[ 218]
I&O Research
22–25 Mar 2024
1,586
18.6%
14.1%
5.5%
3.0%
7.0%
3.8%
3.1%
4.0%
–
25.1%
2.9%
5.2%
1.0%
3.9%
3.1%
–
6.5%
[ 223]
Ipsos
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024
1,890
16.0%
12.7%
5.6%
2.3%
6.0%
2.6%
2.4%
3.7%
–
22.4%
3.2%
4.9%
–
4.5%
4.7%
8.8%
6.4%
[ 219]
Portland
24–31 Jan 2024
535
17%
12%
5%
2%
5%
3%
1%
3%
1%
25%
3%
3%
2%
4%
12%
2%
8%
[ 224]
2019 election
23 May 2019
–
19.0%
10.9%
14.6%
12.2%
11.0%
7.1%
6.8%
4.0%
3.9%
3.5%
3.4%
1.9%
–
–
–
1.6%
4.4%
Poland
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
United Right ECR
Third Way EPP –Ren.
Civic Coalition EPP –G/EFA –Ren.
The Left S&D
Confederation NI
There is One Poland NI
Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy NI
PolExit NI
Others
Don't know
Lead
Law and Justice
Kukiz'15
New Left
Left Together
SLD
Spring
IPSOS (Late Poll)
10 June
35.720
7.34
37.4 20
6.63
11.86
0.80
0.30
0.10
1.7
IPSOS
9 June
33.919
8.24
38.2 21
6.63
11.96
0.80
0.30
0.10
4.3
Pollster / Republika
6–7 Jun 2024
1,083
33
11
34
9
12
1
1
OGB
4–7 Jun 2024
800
36.0418
7.545
37.45 20
5.014
11.496
0.590
0.150
1.730
1.41
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat
6 Jun 2024
–
30.5
9.6
31.5
8.1
9.7
0.6
0.1
10.0
1.0
Pollster / "SE.pl"
5–6 Jun 2024
1,031
31.63
11.65
34.86
8.94
10.72
2.20
3.23
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM
4–6 Jun 2024
1,000
29
10
33
7
11
2
1
7
4
ewybory.eu
17 May–6 Jun 2024
5,709
33.7
10.9
33.3
9.6
10.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.4
Opinia24 / Gazeta Wyborcza
4–5 Jun 2024
1,001
29.819
8.95
32.1 20
7.74
95
3.60
8.9
2.3
Opinia24 / TVN
4–5 Jun 2024
1,000
32
9
34
8
10
2
1
1
3
2
CBOS
20 May–5 Jun 2024
1,038
28.9
11.4
33.4
9.7
10.5
0.5
0.4
5.3
4.5
IPSOS / TVP
3–4 June 2024
–
29.216
10.96
34.5 20
8.04
13.67
2.60
0.60
5.3
IBRiS / Onet
3 Jun 2024
1,067
31.318
11.67
33.1 19
8.24
9.05
0.20
6.6
1.8
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat
3 Jun 2024[ ct]
–
30.1
10.7
29.5
8.0
9.5
2.0
0.1
10.0
0.6
Research Partner
31 May–3 Jun 2024
1,073
32.1 20
9.05
31.519
6.54
9.45
2.90
0.10
8.5
0.6
CBOS
20 May–2 Jun 2024
1,038
29
12
27
7
10
2
1
11
2
United Surveys / WP.pl
24–26 May 2024
1,000
30.8
10.8
32.4
7.8
11.7
0.3
0.2
0.1
5.9
1.6
IPSOS / TVP
22–25 May 2024
1,000
30
9
29
8
13
1
0
1
9
1
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat
20 May 2024[ cu]
–
30.0
10.1
30.8
8.1
8.8
2.1
0.0
10.1
0.8
Opinia24
13–14 May 2024
1,000
29
8
31
6
10
2
13
2
United Surveys / DGP, RMF
10–12 May 2024
1,000
32.7 19
12.67
30.317
9.65
8.65
0.90
0.0[ 225] 0
0.20
5.1
2.4
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM
26 Apr–9 May 2024
1,096
27
9
28
8
10
2
1
12
1
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat
7–8 May 2024
1,000
29.3
12.1
28.3
9.7
9.9
1.5
9.2
1.0
Opinia24 / TOK FM
6–8 May 2024
1,001
30.6
7.7
30.8
9.0
8.3
2.7
10.9
0.2
29 Apr 2024
Confederation announces There is One Poland candidates on their lists.[ 226]
OGB
22–25 Apr 2024
804
32.6618
13.817
33.21 18
5.573
12.307
2.450
0.55
Ipsos / Euronews
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
1,000
29.2
16.5
31.3
8.4
13.9
2.1
Opinia24 / TOK FM
26–28 Feb 2024
1,002
22
11
31
11
10
3[ cv]
11
9
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska
2–13 Feb 2024
2,027
29.0
14.0
33.5
8.5
7.5
1.3
6.2
4.5
Portland Communications
24–31 Jan 2024
632
29
16
35
9
8
3
6
Parliamentary election
15 Oct 2023
21,596,674 [ cw]
35.38
14.40
30.70
8.61
7.16
1.63
1.86
–
0.28
4.68
Parliamentary election
13 Oct 2019
18,678,457 [ cx]
43.59
8.55
27.40
12.56
6.81
–
0.78
–
0.31
16.19
European election
26 May 2019
13,647,311 [ cy]
45.3827
3.690
38.4722
6.063
1.240
4.550
–
–
0.06
0.54
6.91
Portugal
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
O
Lead
S&D
EPP
EPP
NI
PfE
Left
Left
G/EFA
G/EFA
Renew
2024 EP election
9 Jun 2024
—
36.6
32.1 8
31.17
9.82
4.31
4.11
1.20
3.80
9.12
4.50
1.0
CESOP–UCP
9 Jun 2024
14,185
37–40
28–34 6/8
28–336/8
8–122/3
3–50/1
3–50/1
1–20
3–50/1
8–122/3
—
0.5
ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris
9 Jun 2024
15,839
36.7
29.2–33.6 7/8
28.4–32.87/8
7.5–10.92/3
2.8–5.80/1
2.8–5.80/1
0.4–2.00
2.9–5.90/1
8.1–11.52/3
3.3–6.30
0.8
Pitagórica
9 Jun 2024
24,619
35.5–41.5
27.7–33.7 6/8
26.0–32.06/8
6.6–12.62/3
3.0–7.00/1
2.0–6.00/1
0.7–2.70
2.5–6.50/1
8.3–12.32/3
—
1.7
Intercampus
9 Jun 2024
19,502
38–42
27.2–33.2 6/8
26.9–32.96/8
7.5–11.52/3
3.1–6.10/1
2.3–5.30/1
0.3–2.30
3.0–6.00/1
8.3–12.32/3
2.8–8.80
0.3
Intercampus [ cz]
29 May–4 Jun 2024
604
?
27.57
28.3 7
13.73
6.61
2.90
3.50
5.11
10.42
2.00
0.8
CESOP–UCP
27 May–3 Jun 2024
1,552
?
33 7/9
316/8
122/4
40/1
40/1
10
40/1
81/2
30
2
Aximage
17–22 May 2024
801
55.3
30.6 7/8
26.66
15.54
6.31
3.50
1.60
5.21
7.51/2
3.20
4.0
Intercampus [ da]
12–20 May 2024
609
?
23.1 5
22.05
18.14
9.22
3.70
4.01
6.91
12.03
1.00
1.1
CESOP–UCP
13–18 May 2024
965
?
306/8
31 6/8
153/4
51
51
10
51
61/2
20
1
Duplimétrica
6–13 May 2024
800
?
34 9
328
102
30
30
10
30
92
50
2
ICS/ISCTE
27 Apr–8 May 2024
1,001
?
32 8
266
184
51
41
20
20
41
70
6
Intercampus [ db]
18–23 Apr 2024
605
?
33.4 8
28.27
13.03
7.41
3.30
1.30
5.81
4.41
3.30
5.2
Aximage
12–16 Apr 2024
805
58.0
31.3 7/8
24.86
18.44
5.91
4.11
1.80
3.60/1
5.81
4.30
6.5
2024 legislative elections
10 Mar 2024
—
59.8
28.0(7)
28.8 (7)
18.1(5)
4.4(1)
3.2(0)
1.9(0)
3.2(0)
4.9(1)
7.5(0)
0.8
Ipsos
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
2,000
?
29.68
31.0 8
3.40
–
14.23
4.41
2.30
2.10
3.60
4.51
4.90
1.4
2022 legislative elections
30 Jan 2022
—
51.5
41.4 (10)
29.1(7)
1.6(0)
0.0(0)
7.2(1)
4.4(1)
4.3(1)
1.6(0)
1.3(0)
4.9(1)
4.7(0)
12.3
2019 legislative elections
6 Oct 2019
—
48.6
36.3 (10)
27.8(7)
4.2(1)
0.2(0)
1.3(0)
9.5(2)
6.3(1)
3.3(0)
1.1(0)
1.3(0)
8.8(0)
8.5
2019 EP election
26 May 2019
—
30.7
33.4 9
21.96
6.21
1.50
9.82
6.92
5.11
1.80
0.90
12.50
11.5
Romania
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
CNR
PUSL S&D
AUR+
ADU
PRO S&D
UDMR EPP
AER
AD ECR
S.O.S. NI
REPER Renew
Others
Lead
PNL EPP
PSD S&D
PNCR ECR
AUR ECR
FD EPP
PMP EPP
USR Renew
PER NI
PV G/EFA
INSCOP
20 - 25 May 2024
1,100
43.7
1.3
17.5
14.1
—
6.0
—
—
—
4.4
1.3
11.7[ 227]
26.2
Sociopol
17–22 May 2024
1,002
47
2
—
21
15
—
5
—
—
0
2
4
4[ dc]
24
CSPS
7–15 May 2024
2,613
27
—
—
34
25
—
7
—
—
—
3
4
3
7
INSCOP
12–20 April 2024
1,100
46.6
1.5
—
16.7
13.8
2.7
5.1
2.4
2.0
—
4.5
1.8
2.8
29.9
CSPS
1-7 April 2024
4,085
27.2
—
—
30.2
23.4
—
4.8
—
—
—
2.8
5.8
5.7
3
Sociopol
26 March-2 April 2024
1,002
47
5
—
23
14
1
4
2
—
—
3
0
1
24
CURS
19-28 March 2024
1,067
53
4
—
14
14
—
5
—
—
—
5
—
5
39
CSPS
17-29 March 2024
2,088
37
—
—
27
21
—
4
—
—
—
—
—
11
10
Euractiv
March 2024
—
42
—
—
25
14
2
5
—
—
—
5
1
6
17
Ipsos
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
970
42.4
3.0
—
20.7
14.2
5.1
3.4
—
—
—
5.9
—
5.2
21.7
INSCOP
22-29 Feb 2024
1,100
43.7
—
—
20.6
13.7
3.7
3.9
3.4
—
6.4
0.9
3.7
23.1
Sociopol
Feb 2024
–
42
1
—
28
15
2
5
2
—
0
3
1
1[ dd]
14
17
31
1
—
24
13
2
5
2
—
0
3
1
1[ de]
14
INSOMAR
Feb 2024
1,030
40.8
1.5
—
30.5
11.5
1.7
4.5
—
—
—
2
—
7.5[ df]
10.3
Avangarde
19–20 Feb 2024
950
20
31
—
—
18
15
—
5
—
—
—
8
2
1
11
CURS
3–14 Feb 2024
1,067
20
31
2
—
20
13
2
4
—
—
—
4
—
4[ dg]
11
60m.ro
20 Jan 2024
927
16
28
—
—
30
17
—
5
—
—
—
4
—
—
2
INSCOP
16-24 Jan 2024
1,100
18.8
29.5
—
—
18.4
12.9
3.0
4.8
3.5
—
6.5
0.5
2
10.7
CURS
15–27 Jan 2024
1,082
19
30
3
—
21
14
—
5
—
—
—
4
—
4
9
Avangarde
8-22 Jan 2024
1,150
21
31
—
—
19
14
—
5
—
—
—
8
1
1
10
INSOMAR
Jan 2024
1,050
21
25
—
—
22
—
2
9
1
3
—
—
—
3
—
9[ dh]
3
Sociopol
Jan 2024
–
17
29
1
0
23
13
2
5
2
—
1
3
1
1[ di]
6
CIRA
Jan 2024
1,000
20
30
—
—
18
2
2
14
—
5
—
—
—
6
2
1
10
CURS
26–30 Dec 2023
852
19
31
4
—
19
1
4
9
2
4
—
—
—
5
—
2
12
Mercury Research
30 Oct–6 Nov 2023
1,227
16
26
0
—
19
22
—
3
—
—
—
7
1
5
4
16
28
1
—
19
2
4
15
—
3
—
—
—
7
1
3
9
Avangarde
20–28 Sep 2023
994
21
31
—
—
19
1
3
13
1
5
—
—
—
5
—
1
10
LARICS
11–25 Sep 2023
1,003
22.9
31.5
1.0
—
14.6
—
4.4
15.2
—
3.2
—
—
—
4.7
—
2.4
8.6
INSOMAR
28–31 Aug 2023
1,030
15
25
2
—
27
3
3
7
—
4
—
—
—
4
—
10
2
2020 parliamentary election
6 Dec 2020
6.058.625
25.2
28.9
1.0
—
9.1
—
4.9
15.4
4.1
5.7
1.3
0.4
0.0
—
—
4.1
3.7
2019 election
26 May 2019
9.069.822
27.0
22.5
—
—
5.8
22.4
6.4
5.3
—
—
—
—
—
6.6
4.5
Slovenia
Fieldwork date
Polling firm
Publisher(s)
Sample size
SDS EPP
SLS (Gregorčič )EPP
ZS NI
SD S&D
NSi EPP
Levica Left
DeSUS EDP
DD NI
GS Renew
Resni.ca NI
PPS G/EFA
Vesna (Prebilič )G/EFA
NOT NI
Logar NI
Rupar NI
Others
None
Und.
Abst.
Lead
Source
3–6 Jun 2024
Ninamedia
Dnevnik
629
25.1
6.4
2.1
10.3
6.8
4.8
4.4
19.5
5.4
–
13.1
2.1
–
–
–
–
–
–
5.6
[ 228]
3–5 Jun 2024
Mediana
Delo
734
20.5 3
6.00
1.50
6.51
7.81
4.40
1.90
18.43
3.90
–
7.71
1.50
–
–
19.9
2.1
[ 229]
21–24 May 2024
Mediana
POPTV
713
17.9 4
3.00
2.60
9.11
6.01
4.10
1.40
12.82
5.50
–
8.11
0.90
–
–
0.10
4.0
14.7
6.2
5.1
[ 230]
13–16 May 2024
Ninamedia
Dnevnik
1,000
27.4 3
4.40
3.60
11.51
7.91
5.70
2.80
17.62
3.20
–
14.01
1.70
–
–
–
–
–
–
9.8
[ 231]
23–25 Apr 2024
Mediana
POPTV
723
21.7
3.3
–
5.7
7.1
3.0
2.6
15.5
3.1
2.8
7.1
0.9
–
–
0.2
4.3
14.7
4.2
6.2
[ 232]
22–25 Apr 2024
Parsifal
Nova24TV
863
24.5
2.8
–
6.8
6.3
4.3
1.7
12.5
4.5
2.2
2.7
–
–
–
0.1
5.7
18.7
7.2
12.0
[ 233]
5–7 Mar 2024
Mediana
Delo
723
20.7
2.4
–
6.4
6.2
4.5
–
–
13.0
4.1
3.3
3.3
–
–
2.7
1.7
6.4
18.6
4.3
7.7
[ 234]
4–7 Dec 2023
Ninamedia
–
700
14.6
3.7
–
11.4
6.3
4.0
–
–
11.6
–
–
8.3
–
12.4
0.9
–
–
19.7
7.1
2.2
[ 235]
24 April 2022
2022 parliamentary election
–
–
23.48
3.41
6.69
6.86
4.46
0.66
1.70
40.23 [ dj]
2.86
1.63
1.35
—
—
—
6.13
(29.04)
16.75
26 May 2019
2019 election
–
–
26.25
2.22
18.66
11.12
6.43
5.67
0.53
19.46[ dk]
—
—
—
—
—
—
9.67
(71.11)
6.79
Slovakia
Polling firm
Date
Sample size
PS Renew
Democrats EPP
Smer NI
ĽSNS NI
Život NI
SNS ID
KDH EPP
SASKA ECR
KÚ ECR
OĽaNO EPP
ZĽ EPP
MA EPP
SR ID
Hlas NI
Republika NI
Others
Lead
Ipsos[ 236]
30 May–4 Jun 2024
1,225
21.94
5.21
24.6 4
1.00
3.20
6.31
5.71
1.50
4.40
5.11
—
11.22
8.71
1.2[ dl]
2.7
NMS[ 237]
30 May–3 Jun 2024
1,020
23.2 5
3.30
22.14
0.70
3.10
5.01
6.41
1.20
3.20
3.70
—
11.92
11.02
5.1
1.1
Median[ 238]
21–27 May 2024
640
20.6
4.9
22.5
1.4
2.3
7.2
7.0
—
6.6
3.3
—
14.0
9.4
0.8
1.9
Ipsos[ 239]
14–21 May 2024
414
23.54
3.40
24.4 4
1.70
4.00
7.11
5.71
—
5.31
4.80
—
10.32
9.02
0.8
0.9
NMS[ 240]
9–13 May 2024
1,020
23.4 5
3.50
17.34
0.90
3.00
4.80
7.41
1.60
4.80
3.10
—
11.22
12.63
6.3[ dm]
6.1
AKO[ 241]
7–14 May 2024
1,000
25.6 4
3.40
17.63
1.00
5.21
7.01
6.71
0.60
2.70
3.70
—
14.43
8.52
3.6
8.0
NMS[ 242]
18–24 April 2024
1,010
24.3 5
4.40
19.84
0.70
3.20
4.60
7.01
0.80
3.60
2.90
—
12.03
10.72
5.8[ dn]
4.5
AKO[ 243]
9–16 April 2024
1,000
27.2 5
2.70
15.23
1.00
4.10
6.71
6.51
0.80
3.20
5.01
—
14.23
7.51
5.9[ do]
12.0
Ipsos[ 244]
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024
1,502
24.65
2.30
26.7 5
2.10
4.80
8.22
4.60
4.90
2.40
—
11.82
6.41
1.2
2.1
2023 elections
30 Sep 2023
2,967,896
17.96
2.21
22.95
0.84
5.63
6.82
6.32
8.90
4.39
2.93
14.70
4.75
1.60
4.99
2020 elections
29 Feb 2020
2,881,511
6.97
18.29
7.97
3.16
4.65
6.22
25.03
5.77
3.91
8.24
—
—
9.34
6.74
2019 elections
25 May 2019
985,680
20.11 4
15.723
12.072
2.070
4.090
9.702
9.622
3.850
5.261
—
4.960
3.230
—
—
9.32
4.29
Spain
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font.
Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Turnout
AR
SALF
Lead
2024 EP election
9 Jun 2024
—
46.4
30.220
34.2 22
0.70
3.32
9.66
4.93
2.51
1.61
[ dp]
0.80
4.73
4.63
4.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 1]
30 Apr–9 Jun 2024
4,612
?
28.719/20
34.5 23/25
1.00
4.22/3
10.56/7
4.22/3
2.31
1.40/1
[ dp]
–
6.33/4
2.91/2
5.8
Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA[ p 2]
24 May–8 Jun 2024
12,000
?
30.220/22
32.4 21/23
1.00
4.42/3
10.46/7
4.32/3
2.11
1.61
[ dp]
–
6.33/4
3.92/3
2.2
40dB/Prisa[ p 3]
6 Jun 2024
800
?
29.720
32.4 22
?0
4.02/3
10.36/7
4.32/3
2.41
1.60/1
[ dp]
–
6.03/4
3.11/2
2.7
Metroscopia[ p 4]
3–6 Jun 2024
2,000
?
30.120/21
32.6 22/23
0.40
4.93
10.16/7
4.53
2.01
1.81
[ dp]
–
5.43/4
3.62
2.5
KeyData/Público[ p 5]
3 Jun 2024
?
51.5
30.020
33.9 23
1.00
3.72
9.96
4.43
2.41
1.71
[ dp]
–
6.14
2.81
3.9
Data10/Okdiario[ p 6]
2–3 Jun 2024
1,500
?
30.220
34.4 23
1.00
3.92
10.37
4.43
2.51
1.61
[ dp]
–
6.24
–
4.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[ p 7]
1–3 Jun 2024
1,422
?
30.221
32.9 23
0.80
3.62
9.56
4.22
2.51
1.71
[ dp]
1.20
5.94
2.51
2.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 8]
27 May–3 Jun 2024
3,535
?
30.320/21
33.2 22/23
?0
4.12/3
10.56/7
4.32/3
1.91
1.40/1
[ dp]
–
6.04
3.42
2.9
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 9]
30 May–2 Jun 2024
630
?
29.320
34.1 23
0.90
3.72
10.17
3.82
2.81
1.61
[ dp]
–
6.34
2.71
4.8
Cluster17/Agenda Pública[ p 10]
29–31 May 2024
2,060
?
29.520/21
33.8 22/23
?0
3.52
10.36/7
4.53
2.61
1.71
[ dp]
–
5.93/4
2.31
4.3
Target Point/El Debate[ p 11]
29–31 May 2024
1,003
?
31.020/21
33.5 22/23
?0
3.92
8.95/6
?3
2.41
?1
[ dp]
–
6.04
2.91/2
2.5
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[ p 12]
27–31 May 2024
630
?
31.521/22
32.0 21/22
0.90
4.42/3
8.15/6
5.03
2.01
1.81
[ dp]
–
5.83/4
3.71/2
0.5
NC Report/La Razón[ p 13]
27–31 May 2024
1,000
50.8
29.220
35.0 23/24
?0
3.62
9.96/7
4.93
2.81
1.91
[ dp]
–
6.44
2.21
5.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[ p 14]
25–31 May 2024
3,109
?
30.020
33.5 23
0.80
3.32
9.26
4.53
2.51
2.01
[ dp]
1.30
6.34
2.01
3.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 15]
24–31 May 2024
3,948
?
29.719/21
32.7 21/23
0.80
4.02/3
11.06/7
3.82
1.91
1.30/1
[ dp]
–
6.94/5
3.52
3.0
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[ p 16]
23–31 May 2024
1,000
?
29.620
35.1 23
0.90
3.52
10.26
4.53
2.51
?1
[ dp]
–
6.34
2.01
5.5
40dB/Prisa[ p 17] [ p 18]
28–30 May 2024
2,000
?
30.120/21
33.2 22/23
1.00
4.02/3
10.77
4.83
2.11
1.40/1
[ dp]
–
5.63/4
2.51/2
3.1
GAD3/ABC[ p 19]
27–30 May 2024
1,005
?
29.820
34.9 23/24
?0
3.52
9.76
4.83
2.41
1.91
[ dp]
–
5.93/4
2.41
5.1
CIS[ p 20] [ p 21]
27–30 May 2024
7,491
?
31.6–33.2
28.3– 30.5
0.7– 1.2
3.6– 3.9
9.9– 11.0
3.7– 4.1
1.5– 1.6
1.0– 1.3
[ dp]
–
5.4– 7.1
4.9– 5.7
2.7– 3.3
Metroscopia[ p 22]
28–29 May 2024
1,000
50
29.520/21
33.6 22/23
0.80
3.62
10.16/7
4.73/4
2.31
1.81
[ dp]
–
5.93/4
3.12
4.1
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[ p 23]
23–29 May 2024
1,005
?
30.120
34.5 24
0.70
3.82
9.96
4.02
2.31
2.11
[ dp]
–
6.44
2.61
4.4
DYM/Henneo[ p 24]
23–28 May 2024
1,004
?
30.820/21
34.4 23
1.30
3.32
10.46/7
4.22/3
2.41
1.21
[ dp]
1.50/1
5.94
2.81
3.6
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[ p 25] [ p 26]
23–28 May 2024
1,100
49.7
29.320
34.9 23
1.00
3.62
9.96
4.83
2.61
1.81
[ dp]
1.10
6.34
1.91
5.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 27]
25–26 May 2024
503
?
29.420
34.8 24
1.40
3.32
10.77
4.52
2.71
1.40
[ dp]
–
6.34
2.01
5.4
KeyData/Público[ p 28]
25 May 2024
?
54.0
28.719
35.8 24
1.00
3.12
10.67
4.63
2.31
1.50
[ dp]
–
7.44
2.71
7.1
Data10/Okdiario[ p 29]
22–24 May 2024
1,500
?
29.620
35.4 24
0.90
2.91
10.47
4.73
2.51
1.71
[ dp]
–
6.44
–
5.8
GAD3/Mediaset[ p 30]
21–24 May 2024
1,002
?
31.421
34.5 23
0.70
3.02
9.36
4.53
2.41
1.51
[ dp]
–
5.73
2.71
3.1
NC Report/La Razón[ p 31]
20–24 May 2024
1,000
54.3
27.919
36.1 24/25
?0
3.02
9.06
5.23
2.91/2
2.21
[ dp]
–
6.84
1.20
8.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 32]
20–24 May 2024
2,137
?
30.219/20
35.1 24/25
0.80
3.62
9.76/7
3.62
2.41
1.30/1
[ dp]
–
7.04/5
2.61/2
4.9
ElectoPanel/El Plural[ p 33]
18–24 May 2024
1,500
?
29.120
33.7 23
1.00
3.12
8.76
5.33
2.71
2.11
[ dp]
1.30
5.84
1.81
4.6
Cluster17/Agenda Pública[ p 34]
21–23 May 2024
1,640
?
28.719/20
34.1 23/24
?0
3.42
9.66
4.53
2.61
1.91
[ dp]
1.30/1
6.74
2.21
5.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 35]
17–19 May 2024
519
?
28.819
36.9 25
0.90
3.22
10.47
5.13
2.41
1.30
[ dp]
–
7.04
0.80
8.1
NC Report/La Razón[ p 36]
13–17 May 2024
1,000
58.9
27.218/19
36.3 24/25
?0
2.81/2
9.46
4.93
2.71
2.11
[ dp]
–
7.75
1.40/1
9.1
ElectoPanel/El Plural[ p 37]
12–17 May 2024
1,250
?
28.620
34.3 25
0.90
2.51
7.75
5.43
4.02
2.41
[ dp]
1.30
5.94
1.10
5.7
CIS (Logoslab) [ dq] [ p 38]
8–17 May 2024
6,434
?
30.520/21
33.0 21/22
1.50/1
?2/3
?7
?2/3
?1
?1
[ dp]
–
?3/4
?2
2.5
CIS[ p 39] [ p 40]
?
32.8– 35.2 21/24
27.9– 30.218/20
1.8– 2.61/2
4.4– 5.42/3
8.6– 10.15/6
3.9– 5.02/3
2.2– 3.01/2
1.1– 1.60/1
[ dp]
–
5.9– 7.24
2.9– 3.81/2
4.9– 5.0
Cluster17/Agenda Pública[ p 41]
14–16 May 2024
1,511
?
26.417/18
35.4 24
1.20/1
3.42
8.86
5.63
2.61
2.01
[ dp]
1.40/1
6.64
3.82
9.0
40dB/Prisa[ p 42] [ p 43]
10–13 May 2024
2,000
?
30.120/21
33.5 22/23
1.10
4.02/3
12.68/9
4.63
2.21
1.91
[ dp]
–
5.73/4
–
3.4
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[ p 44] [ p 45]
1–9 May 2024
1,131
?
29.920
36.4 24
?0
2.01
10.97
4.83
2.21
1.10
[ dp]
–
8.05
–
6.5
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 46]
30 Apr–4 May 2024
1,279
?
26.718
39.2 26
1.20
3.02
10.37
5.43
2.31
1.41
[ dp]
–
6.44
0.30
12.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 47]
24–30 Apr 2024
2,120
?
28.919
35.7 23
0.80
3.12
11.97
4.12
2.01
1.81
[ dp]
–
9.56
–
6.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 48]
9–12 Apr 2024
2,550
?
26.317
38.1 25
1.71
2.41
10.97
6.14
2.61
1.81
[ dp]
–
6.74
–
11.8
GAD3/Mediaset[ p 49]
18–21 Mar 2024
1,017
?
26.518/19
37.8 25/26
0.30
3.52
9.26
4.43
2.71
2.41
[ dp]
–
7.24
–
11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 50]
5–9 Mar 2024
2,900
?
24.516
40.1 26
0.90
1.91
10.67
4.93
3.02
1.20
[ dp]
–
9.36
–
15.6
Ipsos/Euronews[ p 51] [ p 52]
23 Feb–5 Mar 2024
2,000
?
28.619
37.7 25
?0
2.41
10.46
3.82
2.51
2.01
[ dp]
–
9.76
–
9.1
GAD3/ABC[ p 53]
26–29 Feb 2024
1,005
?
27.118
38.4 26
?0
3.02
8.66
4.32
2.71
2.41
[ dp]
–
7.35
–
11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 54]
5–9 Feb 2024
2,900
?
28.118
38.3 25
?0
1.00
11.77
3.22
3.42
1.51
[ dp]
–
10.26
–
10.2
NC Report/La Razón[ p 55]
12–18 Jan 2024
1,000
61.5
28.318
37.5 25
0.40
1.71
10.46
3.02
3.32
2.11
[ dp]
–
9.16
–
9.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 56]
25–31 Dec 2023
2,309
?
28.519
37.1 24
1.10
3.32
11.07
3.22
4.42
1.30
[ dp]
–
8.85
–
8.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 57]
15–26 Dec 2023
2,992
?
29.219
38.1 25
0.20
2.61
11.87
2.81
2.31
2.01
[ dp]
–
10.16
–
8.9
SocioMétrica/El Español[ p 58]
20–24 Nov 2023
2,109
?
29.219
36.8 25
1.10
2.01
10.26
4.22
5.13
1.30
[ dp]
–
8.05
–
7.6
2023 general election
23 Jul 2023
—
66.6
31.7(20)
33.1 (21)
–
[ dp]
12.4(7)
3.9(2)
1.7(1)
1.6(1)
[ dp]
0.7(0)
12.3(7)
–
1.4
November 2019 general election
10 Nov 2019
—
66.2
28.0 (18)
20.8(13)
6.8(4)
12.9(8)
15.1(10)
5.3(3)
2.2(1)
2.8(1)
2.4(1)
0.9(0)
–
–
7.2
2019 EP election
26 May 2019
—
60.7
32.9 21
20.213
12.28
10.16
6.24
5.63
4.53
2.81
1.30
1.30
–
–
12.7
Sweden
Polling execution
Parties
Polling firm
Fieldwork date
Sample size
V Left
S S&D
MP G/EFA
C Renew
L Renew
M EPP
KD EPP
SD ECR
Oth.
Lead
Demoskop
23 May–1 Jun 2024
3,222
10.02
25.2 6
11.33
5.71
3.10
18.04
5.51
18.64
2.70
6.6
Novus
2–29 May 2024
2,325
10.02
29.4 7
11.02
4.71
5.11
15.54
3.80
19.14
1.30
10.3
Verian
22–28 May 2024
1,000
9.52
25.1 6
10.62
4.91
4.71
17.24
5.41
19.64
3.10
5.5
Demoskop
11–20 May 2024
2,994
8.72
27.5 7
9.82
4.61
2.80
18.54
3.90
19.95
4.30
7.6
Ipsos
7–19 May 2024
1,646
7.62
29.6 7
10.83
3.60
4.71
19.14
3.90
17.84
2.90
10.5
Demoskop
24 Apr–7 May 2024
3,970
8.72
28.5 6
9.22
4.61
3.20
17.34
4.41
19.95
4.20
8.6
Verian
25–30 Apr 2024
1,900
8.82
29.7 7
9.52
4.51
3.70
18.34
4.21
17.24
4.20
11.4
Novus
1–28 Apr 2024
2,311
8.52
31.1 8
10.32
3.60
3.80
17.74
3.50
18.85
2.60
12.3
Indikator Opinion
28 Mar – 22 Apr 2024
6,943
8.12
32.3 8
9.72
4.61
3.30
19.04
2.30
18.64
2.10
12.9
Ipsos
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024
1,003
9.62
30.4 6
8.32
7.01
4.71
16.44
4.51
17.54
1.50
12.9
Novus
19 Feb – 3 Mar 2024
504
7.32
32.4 7
8.02
4.61
3.30
18.14
4.21
20.54
1.70
11.9
2022 general election
11 Sep 2022
–
6.81
30.3 7
5.11
6.71
4.61
19.14
5.31
20.55
1.50
9.8
2019 EP election
26 May 2019
–
6.81
23.5 5
11.53
10.82
4.11
16.84
8.62
15.33
2.50
6.7
Notes
^ a b Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into a group or non-inscrits.
^ Follows Europe Elects's assignment of parties into groups.
^ a b Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into "others", unless it is a member of a political party at the European level .
^ PP–DB is an electoral alliance, including parties with different european affiliations. PP has expressed interest in joining Renew Europe ,[ 130] while MEP Radan Kanev from DSB sits in the EPP Group and DaB! is considering applying for EPP membership.[ 131]
^ ITN , despite not being an official member yet, has announced its intention to join the ECR Group .[ 132]
^ Includes Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3, winning no seats
^ Includes, CENTER at 2% and Solidary Bulgaria at 1.7% , all winning no seats
^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.1%, Left at 1.2%, BV at 1.2%, all winning no seats
^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.5% winning no seats
^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3%, Levitsata! at 1.9%, and Bulgarian Rise at 1.2%, all winning no seats
^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.2%, winning no seats
^ Includes BV and Levitsata! , both at 1.8% and winning no seats
^ Includes BV at 2.9% and Levitsata! at 2.2%, both winning no seats
^ Democratic Bulgaria only
^ HSU at 3.8%; all others under 3.5% each
^ Including Gen Z list at 2.1%, RF at 1.3%, HSU at 1.1%, and Ladislav Ilčić at 1.0%
^ Including HSU at 1.9%, The Gen Z list at 1.9% and Republika at 1.1%
^ with DP
^ with Trikolora
^ ODS 14.6%, KDU-ČSL 7.2%
^ with TOP 09
^ Included under Others.
^ Alliance with R&PS and Volt France
^ PRC <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ , PT <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, PT 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ France Libre–Union de la Résistance 0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
^ PRC 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance 0.5%, Défendre les enfants 0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ PRC <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, PT 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Défendre les enfants 0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des
communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des
communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ Décidons nous-mêmes 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc 0.5%, PT 0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
^ , PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
^ a b Mentré retires as of May 2
^ a b c d Dupont-Aignan retires as of March 26
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve 's The Convention
^ a b RE list led by Valérie Hayer , confirmed as candidate on February 29th
^ a b RE list led by Clément Beaune
^ a b RE list led by Julien Denormandie
^ a b c d e RE list led by Olivier Véran
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
^ RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
^ RE list led by Thierry Breton
^ LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
^ LFI list led by Segolène Royal
^ NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
^ NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
^ NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
^ NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
^ NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
^ a b NUPES list led by EELV
^ endorsed LO
^ with MEI and MdP
^ with PS
^ with EELV
^ incl. UDI with 2.50%
^ Die Partei has 2 seats, Tierschutz has one seat.
^ De facto banned, popular former XA member Ilias Kasidiaris supported Spartans for the 2023 Greek legislative election.
^ 49 votes below the 3% threshold.
^ Alongside Union of Centrists .
^ without leaders
^ with leaders
^ Polls before 12 March 2024 refer to it as People's Union (UP).
^ a b c d e f g Without leaders
^ a b c d e f g h With leaders
^ SVP 0.0%
^ PSI 0.8%
^ With party symbols
^ Combined results for Green Europe (EV) and The Left (LS) lists at the election
^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' (including Independents 4 Change candidates) is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
^ Includes 'Others'.
^ a b c d e f Not specifically mentioned in the report.
^ Includes 21% for 'Independent' and 4% for 'Other Party'.
^ a b c Did not contest this election.
^ Latvian Russian Union : 6.3% (1); Centre Party: 0.5%
^ Parties which received less than 1% of the vote.
^ Coalition of Peace 1.5%, Lithuanian Green Party 1.4%, National Alliance 1.4%, People and Justice Union 0.9%, Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania 0.7%, Christian Union 0.2%, Lithuanian People's Party 0.2%, Lithuanian List 0.2%
^ a b Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
^ Sister newspaper of 'It-Torċa', a GWU -owned newspaper, closely aligned to the Labour Party .
^ Survey was candidate based, thus the quantity in 'Other' will definitely include parties listed here and might overflow 100%. Percentages brought about by combining candidate first-preference vote shares. Thus the lead percentage and winning party may not be realistic.
^ Sister newspaper of 'L-Orizzont ', a GWU -owned newspaper, closely aligned to the Labour Party .
^ Combined result of Democratic Alternative and Democratic Party vote shares before party merger
^ As Alliance for Change
^ Publication date
^ Publication date
^ KORWiN – 1
^ Turnout: 74,38%
^ Turnout: 61,74%
^ Turnout: 45,69%
^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.5%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 24.8%; AD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 12.0%; IL: 9.1%; BE: 5.8%; Livre: 4.5%; PAN: 3.1%; CDU: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.8%.
^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (3.7%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 22.2%; AD: 21.2%; CHEGA: 17.4%; IL: 11.6%; BE: 8.9%; Livre: 6.6%; PAN: 3.9%; CDU: 3.6%; Others/Invalid: 0.9%.
^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.5%; AD: 23.2%; CHEGA: 10.7%; BE: 6.1%; Livre: 4.8%; IL: 3.6%; CDU: 2.7%; PAN: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 2.7%.
^ Independents 4%, Greater Romania Party 0%, Socialist Romania 0%, Patriotic Party 0%, United Diaspora Party 0%
^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI ): 4.2%
^ Party of the Patriots: 2%
^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI ): 3%
^ Independents 2%, ALDE 0%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
^ Compared with the 2022 results of GS + LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
^ Compared with the 2019 results of LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
^ Common Sense 0.7%
^ Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.8, KSS 0.7, SOS 0.5, Slovak PATRIOT 0.4, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.3, Volt 0.3, SRDCE 0.2, Piráti 0.2, SĽS 0.0
^ Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.6, Piráti 0.6, Slovak PATRIOT 0.6, SOS 0.5, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.2, SRDCE 0.2, Volt 0.1, KSS 0.1, SĽS 0.0%
^ Common Sense 1.5, SRDCE 1.2, SOSK 0.7, KSS 0.7, SDKÚ-DS 0.5, Piráti 0.5, MySlovensko 0.5, SĽS 0.3, SOS 0.1, Volt 0.1, Slovak PATRIOT 0.0, Socialisti.sk 0.0
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb Within Sumar .
^ Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.
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^ "Δημοσκόπηση Marc: Η δεξαμενή των αναποφάσιστων και από πού προέρχονται" . To Vima (in Greek). 2024-05-31.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO στο Star: Προβάδισμα ΝΔ κατά 16,9 μονάδες" . Star (in Greek). 2024-05-30.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Prorata: Ισχυρό προβάδισμα της ΝΔ ενόψει ευρωεκλογών – Δεύτερο το ΠΑΣΟΚ, τρίτος ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ" . enikos.gr (in Greek). 2024-05-30.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση: Η ΝΔ έχει προβάδισμα αλλά πραγματική πρώτη δύναμη είναι η δυσαρέσκεια" . Ta Nea (in Greek). 2024-05-28.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Good Affairs για το Daily Post: Στο 31,1% η ΝΔ, στο 16,3% ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ και στο 11,1% το ΠΑΣΟΚ- Ποιοι υποψήφιοι ευρωβουλευτές προηγούνται" . TheDailyPost.Gr (in Greek). 2024-05-28.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll: Οριακά πιάνει τον στόχο του 33% η ΝΔ - Μάχη για 6 κόμματα για το όριο του 3% στις ευρωεκλογές" . thetoc.gr (in Greek). 2024-04-20.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Ανοίγει η ψαλίδα μεταξύ ΝΔ - ΣΥΡΙΖΑ, πάνω από 17 μονάδες η διαφορά λίγο πριν τις ευρωεκλογές" . Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-05-20.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Pulse: 17 μονάδες μπροστά η ΝΔ από τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ – Με ποια κριτήρια θα ψηφίσουν οι πολίτες" . newsit (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Pulse: 17 μονάδες μπροστά η ΝΔ από τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ – Με ποια κριτήρια θα ψηφίσουν οι πολίτες" . newsit (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση MARC: Με πάνω από 18% προηγείται η ΝΔ στην εκτίμηση αποτελέσματος Ευρωεκλογών" . ethnos (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση OPEN για ευρωεκλογές 2024: Τα ποσοστά των κομμάτων – Τι λένε για συγκέντρωση Ράμα και συνάντηση Μητσοτάκη με Ερντογάν" . ethnos (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: Σε τροχιά ανόδου η ΝΔ – Τα πρόσωπα που μπαίνουν στην Ευρωβουλή" . politic.gr (in Greek). 2024-05-14.
^ "Ευρωεκλογές – Δημοσκόπηση: Ποιοι προηγούνται στη μάχη του σταυρού, ποια κόμματα μπαίνουν στην Ευρωβουλή" . tovima.gr (in Greek). 2024-05-11.
^ "Γκάλοπ Marc για το ΘΕΜΑ: Περνάει τον πήχη του 33% η ΝΔ, στο Κέντρο η μάχη για τους αναποφάσιστους" . Proto Thema (in Greek). 2024-04-28.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Ισχυρό προβάδισμα της ΝΔ έναντι του ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Το κυβερνών κόμμα ανακάμπτει και συσπειρώνεται" . Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-04-27.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Metron Analysis για το MEGA: Πρώτη η ΝΔ στην εκτίμηση ψήφου για τις ευρωεκλογές – Δημοφιλέστερος ο «Κανένας»" . Mega (in Greek). 2024-04-18.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Prorata: Η ΝΔ χάνει προς «Ελληνική Λύση», απώλειες στο ΠΑΣΟΚ, «κλειδώνει» τη 2η θέση ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ" . ieidiseis.gr (in Greek). 2024-04-15.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll: Στις 17,1 μονάδες η διαφορά ΝΔ με τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ και κυριαρχία Μητσοτάκη" . Proto Thema (in Greek). 2024-04-11.
^ Ιατρίδου, Έλενα (2024-03-12). "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC Ι Με απώλειες αλλά σταθερά μπροστά η ΝΔ - Ένας στους δύο θα «στείλει μήνυμα» στις ευρωεκλογές" . Ειδήσεις απο τη Θεσσαλονίκη, την Ελλάδα και όλο τον Κόσμο (in Greek). Retrieved 2024-04-09 .
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview: Προβάδισμα ΝΔ με 12,9%, δεύτερος ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ" . ProtoThema (in Greek). 2024-04-09. Retrieved 2024-04-09 .
^ "Δημοσκόπηση ALCO: Μπροστά με διαφορά η ΝΔ, παλεύουν ΣΥΡΙΖΑ και ΠΑΣΟΚ για τη δεύτερη θέση" . Newsbomb (in Greek). 2024-04-08.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Palmos Analysis στον ΕΤ: Σαρωτική υπεροχή για Μητσοτάκη και Νέα Δημοκρατία" . Eleftheros Typos (in Greek). 2024-04-07.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Ισχυρό προβάδισμα της ΝΔ έναντι του ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Στις 17,5 μονάδες η διαφορά" . Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-04-07.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση MRB: "Βυθίστηκε" σχεδόν 5% η ΝΔ μέσα σε ένα μήνα – Άλμα 4,5% για τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ" . To pontiki (in Greek). 2024-04-04.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση ΣΚΑΪ: Στις 18 μονάδες η διαφορά της ΝΔ από τον δεύτερο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Τι ποσοστό θέλει πρόωρες εκλογές" . Skai (in Greek). 2024-04-03.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll: Κάτω από 30% το ποσοστό της ΝΔ" . npress.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-22.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Metron: Κυβερνητική "βουτιά" 5 μονάδων σε ένα μήνα - Πληγώνουν τα Τέμπη" . ieidiseis.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-21.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Good Affairs: Το προβάδισμα της ΝΔ και το ντέρμπι της 2ης θέσης" . tovima.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-14.
^ "Στο 35% η Ν.Δ. - Τρεις μονάδες έχασε το ΠΑΣΟΚ σε 50 ημέρες - Δείτε όλο το γκάλοπ της Marc για το "Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ" " . Proto Thema (in Greek). 2024-03-17.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO στο Star: Προβάδισμα 18,5 μονάδων στη ΝΔ" . star.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-14.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview: Σταθερά μπροστά η ΝΔ -Τρίτο κόμμα το ΠΑΣΟΚ" . iefimerida.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-12.
^ "Η μεγάλη δημοσκόπηση του ALPHA" . Alpha TV (in Greek). 2024-03-07.
^ "Européennes : vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen ?" . ipsos.com (in French). 2024-03-10. p. 21.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Pulse: Κυριαρχία ΝΔ με 17,5 μονάδες έναντι ΠΑΣΟΚ και ΣΥΡΙΖΑ, αποδυναμωμένοι Κασσελάκης και Τσίπρας" . newsit.gr (in Greek). 2023-03-04.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Χωρίς αντίπαλο παραμένει η ΝΔ - Στις 22 μονάδες η διαφορά με το ΠΑΣΟΚ" . Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-03-04.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll" .
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll: Προβάδισμα ΝΔ με 18,5 μονάδες στις ευρωεκλογές και 21,2 στις εθνικές – Δεύτερο το ΠΑΣΟΚ" . newsit.gr (in Greek). 2024-02-19.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: Ο Μητσοτάκης "κρατά" τα ποσοστά της ΝΔ – "Οι βουλευτές να ψηφίσουν κατά συνείδηση για το γάμο των ομόφυλων ζευγαριών" " . politic.gr (in Greek). 2024-02-13.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Alco: Μπροστά με 16 μονάδες η ΝΔ, δεύτερο το ΠΑΣΟΚ, νέα πτώση ΣΥΡΙΖΑ -Τι λένε οι πολίτες για ακρίβεια-αγρότες" . iefimerida (in Greek). 2024-02-08.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO στο Star: Προβάδισμα 20,3% της ΝΔ στην πρόθεση ψήφου" . Star (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση MRB: Χωρισμένη στα δύο η χώρα για ομόφυλους γάμους - Ξεκάθαρο "όχι" στην τεκνοθεσία" . CNN gr (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση MARC για τον ΑΝΤ1: Η πρόθεση ψήφου στις Ευρωεκλογές – Τι λένε οι πολίτες για την ακρίβεια και τα μη κρατικά ΑΕΙ" . enikos.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την Politic: Αδιαπραγμάτευτη η πρωτιά της ΝΔ. Όλα πιθανά για τη 2η θέση – Στο παιχνίδι και το ΚΚΕ" . politic.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-16.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Prorata: Κυριαρχία της ΝΔ, "ναι" στα μη κρατικά πανεπιστήμια με αυστηρούς όρους" . protothema.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-11.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση ALCO: Άνετο προβάδισμα ΝΔ ενόψει ευρωκάλπης, μεγάλη απαισιοδοξία για τα οικογενειακά οικονομικά" . protothema.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-08.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: "Επιστρέφει" ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ στη δεύτερη θέση – "Εκτός" βουλής η Νέα Αριστερά" . politic.gr (in Greek). 2023-12-11.
^ "Δημοσκόπηση της GPO για τα Παραπολιτικά: Στο 2,5% το ποσοστό της Νέας Αριστεράς, κάτω από το 10% ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Απόλυτη κυριαρχία για τη ΝΔ" . Parapolitika (in Greek). 2023-12-11.
^ Ryan, Órla (31 May 2024). "Independents remain most popular, while Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil overtake Sinn Féin in latest poll" . TheJournal.ie . Retrieved 31 May 2024 .
^ "Business Post Red C Opinion Poll Report May 2024" (PDF) . Business Post . 28 May 2024. Retrieved 28 May 2024 .
^ a b c d Leahy, Pat (18 May 2024). "Big parties set to win seats in each of three European Parliament constituencies, poll finds" . The Irish Times . Retrieved 18 May 2024 .
^ Ryan, Órla (10 May 2024). "Independent candidates overtake Sinn Féin as voters' top choice ahead of European elections" . TheJournal.ie . Archived from the original on 10 May 2024. Retrieved 10 May 2024 .
^ Matthews, Jane (11 April 2024). "Simon Harris's leadership makes 15% of voters less likely to vote for Fine Gael - poll" . TheJournal.ie . Archived from the original on 10 April 2024. Retrieved 11 April 2024 .
^ Finn, Christina (12 February 2024). "New poll shows Sinn Féin out in front for upcoming European elections in June" . TheJournal.ie . Archived from the original on 21 February 2024. Retrieved 22 February 2024 .
^ a b c Cunningham, Kevin (2 June 2024). "Poll: The race to Europe – very few done deals as candidates close in on finish line" . Irish Independent . Retrieved 2 June 2024 .
^ a b c Corcoran, Jody (19 May 2024). "Poll reveals the key battle the local and European elections is between centrist parties and the 'new right' " . Irish Independent . Retrieved 21 May 2024 .
^ a b c Corcoran, Jody (19 May 2024). "European Elections". Sunday Independent . p. 10.
^ "Partiju reitingi pirms Eiroparlamenta vēlēšanām: "Jaunā Vienotība" zaudē līderpozīciju Nacionālajai apvienībai" . www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-03-07 .
^ "Partiju reitingi: Pirms Eiroparlamenta vēlēšanām līderos "Jaunā Vienotība" un Nacionālā apvienība" . www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-02-19 .
^ "Legislative elections 2023 - Unofficial results" . elections.public.lu . 0696. Retrieved 2024-05-10 .
^ "Communal elections 2023 - Unofficial results" . elections.public.lu . 2023-06-14. Retrieved 2024-05-10 .
^ "European elections 2019 : Unofficial results" . elections.public.lu . Retrieved 2024-05-10 .
^ "Definitieve exitpoll: grote winst PVV, nek aan nek met GroenLinks-PvdA" . nos.nl . 6 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024 .
^ Hond, Maurice de (5 June 2024). "Prognose uitslag Europese Parlementsverkiezingen 2024" . Peil.nl .
^ "PVV en GroenLinks-PvdA even groot in laatste zetelpeiling voor Europese verkiezingen" . EenVandaag (in Dutch). 2024-06-06.
^ "PVV en GroenLinks-PvdA bovenaan in Europese zetelpeiling, meerdere partijen verliezen hun zetels" . EenVandaag (in Dutch). 2024-05-28.
^ a b c d e "EP-verkiezingen sterk landelijk gekleurd" . ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 2024-05-22.
^ Hond, Maurice de (18 May 2024). "De electorale reacties op het hoofdlijnen-akkoord" . Peil.nl . Wekelijkse peiling zetelverdeling.
^ Hond, Maurice de (4 May 2024). "Winst PVV neemt iets af" . Peil.nl . Wekelijkse peiling zetelverdeling.
^ a b "EP-verkiezingen: opgeven Nexit schaadt PVV nauwelijks" . ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 2024-04-23.
^ a b "Européennes : vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen ?" . ipsos.com (in French). 2024-03-19. p. 19.
^ @XandervdWulp (June 6, 2024). "Def exitpoll" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .
^ "Slotpeiling Ipsos I&O Europese Verkiezingen: PVV en GL-PvdA nog steeds gelijk aan kop" . ipsos.com (in Dutch). 2024-05-06.
^ "Peiling EP: PVV en GL-PvdA lijken grootste te worden" . ipsos.com (in Dutch). 2024-05-30.
^ "EP-verkiezingen: lijsttrekkers en fracties nagenoeg onbekend" . ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 2024-03-28.
^ "EUPoll: All Countries" . Portland Communications . 12 February 2024.
^ "Najnowszy sondaż przed eurowyborami: PiS wyprzedza KO" (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-05-14 .
^ "Konfederacja przedstawiła pierwszych kandydatów do PE. Braun mówi o "eurokołchozie" " . pap.pl (in Polish). 29 April 2024. Retrieved 2024-05-20 .
^ PDU 2,8%
PRM 1,9%
Indep. Vlad Gheorghe 1,9%
Indep. Nicolae Bogdănel Ștefănuță 1,9%
Indep. Șoșoacă 1,5%
Indep. Paula Pârvănescu 1,0%
alții 2,6%
^ "Slovenia, Ninamedia poll" (in Slovenian). 7 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024 .
^ "Največjo podporo ima SDS, ki pa bi bil po številu osvojenih mandatov lahko izenačen s Svobodo" (in Slovenian). 7 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024 .
^ "Delitev bruseljskih stolčkov: štirje SDS, dva Svobodi, po en SD, Vesni in NSi" (in Slovenian). 25 May 2024. Retrieved 27 May 2024 .
^ "Anketa Dnevnika: Zaradi referendumov volilna udeležba ne bo bistveno višja" (in Slovenian). 18 May 2024. Retrieved 21 May 2024 .
^ "Presenečenje na bruseljski lestvici, politična bitka še kako odprta" (in Slovenian). 26 April 2024. Retrieved 28 April 2024 .
^ "[Javnomnenjska anketa] SDS se obeta visoka zmaga na evropskih volitvah" (in Slovenian). 27 April 2024. Retrieved 16 November 2024 .
^ "Anketa Dela: SDS bi na evropskih volitvah dobil štiri poslance, Gibanje Svoboda dva" (in Slovenian). 9 March 2024. Retrieved 11 March 2024 .
^ Rok Čakš (18 December 2023). "Anketa o evropskih volitvah spodbudna za slovensko desno sredino" . domovina.je (in Slovenian). Retrieved 19 December 2023 .
^ "PRIESKUM VOLEBNÝCH PREFERENCIÍ POLITICKÝCH STRÁN DO EURÓPSKEHO PARLAMENTU – JÚN 2024" (PDF) . ipsos.com (in Slovak). 2024-06-05. Retrieved 2024-06-05 .
^ "Eurovoľby 2024 – Po atentáte SMER dobieha PS" . nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-06-04. Retrieved 2024-06-08 .
^ "Volebný model voľby do Európskeho parlamentu máj 2024" (PDF) . tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2024-06-04. Retrieved 2024-05-22 .
^ "Prieskum IPSOS: Voľby by vyhral Smer, s PS by mal rovnaký počet kresiel v EP" . tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2024-05-22. Retrieved 2024-05-22 .
^ "Eurovoľby 2024 – V máji vedie Progresívne Slovensko" . nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-05-20. Retrieved 2024-05-20 .
^ "Eurovoľby by vyhrali progresívci pred Smerom a Hlasom, ukázal prieskum" . nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-05-21. Retrieved 2024-05-21 .
^ "Eurovoľby 2024 – Najväčšiu podporu má Progresívne Slovensko" . nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-04-26. Retrieved 2024-04-26 .
^ "Exkluzívny prieskum agentúry AKO pre JOJ 24: Takto by dopadli voľby do Európskeho parlamentu" . noviny.sk (in Slovak). 2024-04-23. Retrieved 2024-04-23 .
^ "Volebný model do Európskeho parlamentu" (PDF) . ipsos.com (in Slovak). 2024-02-14. Retrieved 2024-03-31 .
Other for Spain
^ "El PP habría ganado con claridad las europeas pero el PSOE retendría un alto nivel de apoyo" . El Español (in Spanish). 9 June 2023.
^ "Sondeo elecciones europeas en España: el PP ganaría al PSOE por casi dos puntos y podrían empatar en escaños" . RTVE (in Spanish). 9 June 2023.
^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta 40dB. 09/06/2024: PP 32,4% (22), PSOE 29,7% (20), VOX 10,3% (6/7), SUMAR 6,0% (3/4)" . Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 June 2024.
^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Metroscopia. 09/06/2024: PP 32,6% (22/23), PSOE 30,1% (20/21), VOX 10,1% (6/7), SUMAR 5,4% (3/4)" . Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 June 2024.
^ "El PSOE remonta en campaña y recorta distancias con el PP, según las encuestas" . Público (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "El PP ganará las europeas, pero reduce su ventaja sobre el PSOE al perder un escaño en favor de Vox" . Okdiario (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "ElectoPanel Europeo (3J – Final): PP y PSOE, cerca" . El Debate (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
^ "El tracking final del 9-J: el PP mantiene tres puntos de ventaja sobre un PSOE que aprovecha el hundimiento de Sumar" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "Sprint final en las europeas: el PP ganaría hoy pero el PSOE acecha a menos de 5 puntos" . El Español (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "Encuesta: el PSOE se aproxima al PP, mientras Vox sigue creciendo en la recta final de la campaña" . Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
^ "El PP reduce su ventaja a 2,5 puntos y el PSOE crece, inmune al caso Begoña y a la amnistía" . El Debate (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
^ "Elecciones europeas: el PSOE logra empatar con el PP en la recta final de la campaña" . El Periódico de España (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "El PP supera en seis puntos al PSOE y gana más de diez parlamentarios" . La Razón (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "ElectoPanel EUROPEO (2J): PP y PSOE rozan el empate técnico" . Electomanía (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
^ "La polarización de Sánchez da alas a los extremos: Vox crece a costa del PP y el PSOE recorta" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 1 June 2024.
^ "El PP triunfaría en las elecciones europeas con diez escaños más y tres de ventaja sobre el PSOE" . VozPópuli (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "El PP mantiene tres puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE en la recta final de la campaña" . El País (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "La UE y las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo. Ola 2. Junio 2024" (PDF) . 40dB (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "El PP ganará las elecciones europeas el 9J con cinco puntos y cuatro escaños más que el PSOE" . ABC (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
^ "Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024 (Estudio nº 3460. Mayo 2024)" . CIS (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3460. Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024)" . CIS (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "El PSOE se acerca al PP en las europeas, Vox, tercera fuerza y Alvise lograría dos escaños" . The Objective (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
^ "El PP ganará las elecciones europeas con 4,4 puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE" . La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
^ "Encuesta DYM. El PP duplica escaños y ganaría el 9J, mientras el PSOE resiste y Sumar y Podemos pugnan por su espacio" . 20 minutos (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
^ "El PP, claro vencedor de las europeas, según Celeste-Tel" . Onda Cero (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 31/05/2024: PP 34,9% (23), PSOE 29,3% (20), VOX 9,9% (6), SUMAR 6,3% (4)" . Electográfica (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 5,4 puntos pero el PSOE recorta otros 3 esta semana" . El Español (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
^ "El PP arranca la campaña de las europeas con una ventaja de cinco eurodiputados sobre el PSOE, según las encuestas" . Público (in Spanish). 25 May 2024.
^ "El PP ganará las europeas con 4 diputados más que el PSOE, Vox sube e Irene Montero tendrá escaño" . Okdiario (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
^ "Barómetro Mediaset. Voto estimado al Parlamento Europeo" . GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2024.
^ "Sánchez resiste a sus últimas crisis y Feijóo mantiene su victoria el 9J" . La Razón (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
^ "El PP triunfará en las elecciones europeas con dos millones de votos de PSOE y Ciudadanos" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
^ "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: El PP experimenta una caída frente a la subida del PSOE y las opciones de extrema derecha" . El Plural (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
^ "PSOE y Vox aprovechan los primeros días de campaña ante unas elecciones consideradas por los españoles más decisivas que las anteriores" . Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría por 8 puntos las europeas pero el PSOE le recorta más de 4 tras las catalanas" . El Español (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE" . La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
^ "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: Resultados muy ajustados entre bloques" . El Plural (in Spanish). 19 May 2024.
^ "Más allá de los cálculos de Tezanos: nueve preguntas y algunas respuestas sobre qué pasará el 9J" . infoLibre (in Spanish). 24 May 2024.
^ "Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024 (Estudio nº 3458. Mayo 2024)" . CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3458. Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024)" . CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
^ "El Partido Popular ganaría las elecciones europeas con una delegación española más derechizada" . Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 17 May 2024.
^ "El PP redobla su presencia en Europa, el PSOE aguanta y Vox se dispara" . El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
^ "La UE y las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo. Mayo 2024" (PDF) . 40dB (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
^ "El PP afronta las europeas con seis puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE y Vox supera a Sumar" . elDiario.es (in Spanish). 21 May 2024.
^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Simple Lógica 21/05/2024: PP 36,4% (24), PSOE 29,9% (20), VOX 10,9% (7), 8,0% (5)" . Electográfica (in Spanish). 21 May 2024.
^ "El PP aventaja al PSOE en 12,5 puntos en europeas y se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en unas generales" . El Español (in Spanish). 6 May 2024.
^ "Feijóo se despega ya siete puntos de Sánchez y el PP doblaría su representación en Europa" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 May 2024.
^ "El PP superaría al PSOE en 12 puntos en las europeas y en unas generales, con Sumar en acusada caída" . El Español (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
^ "Barómetro Mediaset. Elecciones generales y europeas" . GAD3 (in Spanish). 26 March 2024.
^ "Koldo y amnistía hunden al PSOE: el PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 15 puntos y las generales por casi 12" . El Español (in Spanish). 10 March 2024.
^ "El PP duplicará diputados en la Eurocámara, el PSOE cae 4 puntos y pierden los independentistas" . El Español (in Spanish). 19 March 2024.
^ "Européennes: vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen?" . Ipsos (in French). 19 March 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con una ventaja aún mayor sobre el PSOE que el 23J" . ABC (in Spanish). 4 March 2024.
^ "El PP incrementa hasta más de 10 puntos su ventaja sobre el PSOE ante las elecciones europeas" . El Español (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE" . La Razón (in Spanish). 27 January 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría las europeas con casi 9 puntos sobre el PSOE y Podemos lograría dos escaños" . El Español (in Spanish). 7 January 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría por nueve puntos al PSOE, dobla su representación e Irene Montero conseguiría un escaño para Podemos en las europeas" . El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2024.
^ "El PP ganaría al PSOE por 7,6 puntos y cinco escaños si las elecciones europeas se celebrasen hoy" . El Español (in Spanish). 27 November 2023.